US Rail Freight Declines Over Labor Day Longterm Outlook Steady

US Rail Freight Declines Over Labor Day Longterm Outlook Steady

According to the Association of American Railroads, U.S. rail freight and intermodal traffic decreased year-over-year for the week ending September 6, potentially due to the Labor Day holiday. Performance varied across different commodity categories, with year-to-date volumes for both freight and intermodal still showing growth. Future trends will be influenced by a multitude of factors including the macroeconomy, energy transition, supply chain restructuring, and infrastructure investments.

01/21/2026 Logistics
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US Rail Freight Volumes Rebound in Late September

US Rail Freight Volumes Rebound in Late September

The Association of American Railroads reported that U.S. rail carload and intermodal traffic both increased year-over-year in late September. Carload traffic saw a slight increase of 0.9%, while intermodal traffic rose by 1.1%. Increased shipments of nonmetallic minerals, grain, and motor vehicle parts were observed, while coal, petroleum, and metallic ores declined. Year-to-date, both cumulative carload and intermodal volumes have experienced growth, reflecting the resilience and potential recovery of the U.S. economy.

01/21/2026 Logistics
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US Rail Freight Rises in Late September Led by Auto and Grain

US Rail Freight Rises in Late September Led by Auto and Grain

The Association of American Railroads reported that for the week ending September 27th, U.S. rail freight and intermodal traffic both experienced year-over-year growth. Significant increases were seen in the transportation of nonmetallic minerals, grain, and motor vehicles & parts. Conversely, coal, petroleum & petroleum products, and metallic ores & metals saw declines. For the first 39 weeks of 2025, both total U.S. rail freight traffic and intermodal volume have shown year-over-year growth, indicating a positive trend in the sector.

01/21/2026 Logistics
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Economist Matt Muenster Analyzes Freight Economy Challenges

Economist Matt Muenster Analyzes Freight Economy Challenges

Breakthrough Chief Economist Matt Muenster provides an in-depth analysis of the current complex freight economy, covering key elements such as tariffs, manufacturing, capacity, inflation, demand, and pricing. He emphasizes the integration of macroeconomics with micro-level practices, leveraging data-driven decision-making to build resilient freight systems. This approach helps businesses navigate uncertainty and capitalize on opportunities within the ever-evolving landscape.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Recession Worsens Cass Index Shows

Freight Market Recession Worsens Cass Index Shows

The latest Cass Freight Index report reveals a decline in both freight volume and expenditures in October, signaling a market downturn. Factors such as weakening demand, excess capacity, the rise of private fleets, and supply chain reshaping are creating challenges for logistics companies. To survive and thrive in this environment, businesses should focus on refined operations, diversified services, technological innovation, strategic partnerships, and risk management. These strategies will help them weather the storm and prepare for the eventual resurgence of the logistics industry.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Cass Freight Index Reports October Decline Amid Weak Demand Strikes

Cass Freight Index Reports October Decline Amid Weak Demand Strikes

The Cass Freight Index report reveals a 9.5% year-over-year decrease in freight volume and a 23.3% year-over-year drop in expenditures for October. Weak demand, compounded by the United Auto Workers strike, contributed to these record lows. Analysts anticipate continued downward pressure on freight volume and rates in the short term. However, the impact of the strike may create the potential for a future rebound in freight activity as production resumes and backlogs are addressed.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Slows on Recession Worries Recovery Possible

Freight Market Slows on Recession Worries Recovery Possible

Bloomberg analyst Lee Klaskow noted in a webinar that the risk of a US recession is high, and the freight market has already entered a recession. Despite the challenges, a turnaround is expected in the second half of the year as capacity exits the market, seasonal demand rebounds, and inventory levels improve. Large, well-capitalized companies with diversified operations are likely to consolidate their positions during this market correction.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Shows Signs of Recovery Amid Winter Challenges

Freight Market Shows Signs of Recovery Amid Winter Challenges

TD Cowen expert Jason Seidl provides an in-depth analysis of the current state and future trends of the freight market. He believes that although the freight market has experienced a prolonged downturn, signs of recovery are emerging. Factors such as tariffs, technological innovation, and supply chain restructuring are reshaping the industry. Businesses should pay close attention to the macroeconomy, optimize their supply chains, and embrace technological innovation to gain a competitive edge.

01/28/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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TD Cowen Analyzes Freight Market Downturn and Future Trends

TD Cowen Analyzes Freight Market Downturn and Future Trends

TD Cowen Managing Director Jason Seidl provides an in-depth analysis of the current freight market, highlighting the trucking industry's longest downturn. However, he notes positive momentum in industrial data. The analysis delves into the impact of tariffs, nearshoring, and AI, offering insights into the less-than-truckload (LTL) and truckload (TL) market outlook. This piece aims to help businesses understand market dynamics and develop effective strategies to navigate the current environment. It offers a valuable perspective on the factors shaping the freight industry's future.

01/28/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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