Fed Rate Decision Highlights Global Central Bank Policy Week

Fed Rate Decision Highlights Global Central Bank Policy Week

This week, financial markets will focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, with multiple central banks also announcing their policy rates. The market anticipates a Fed rate hike, but the magnitude may be smaller. Australia, Canada, and Switzerland are expected to hold rates steady, potentially leading to a divergence in global monetary policy. Furthermore, the delayed release of the US jobs report and CPI data adds complexity to decision-making. Investors should pay close attention to market dynamics and be wary of risks.

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ECB Holds Rates Raises Inflation Forecast on Services Pressure

ECB Holds Rates Raises Inflation Forecast on Services Pressure

The ECB held interest rates steady but revised its 2026 inflation forecast upwards, highlighting the stickiness of services inflation. Lagarde reiterated a data-dependent approach, suggesting no immediate shift from its hawkish stance. Going forward, the ECB needs to balance fighting inflation with supporting growth. Investors should closely monitor economic data and policy developments. The upward revision of inflation expectations, particularly in the services sector, signals a persistent challenge for the ECB in achieving its price stability target, despite its ongoing tightening measures.

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ECB to Maintain Rates Amid Economic Uncertainty

ECB to Maintain Rates Amid Economic Uncertainty

The latest report indicates that ECB policymakers are inclined to maintain current interest rates, but haven't ruled out future cuts. The ECB believes economic growth and inflation risks are relatively balanced, but concerns about growth prospects remain. The overall strategy is one of "cautious observation and flexible response," leaving the future direction of interest rates uncertain. They will likely monitor incoming data closely before making further decisions, balancing the need to support growth while keeping inflation under control.

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Economist Hassett Predicts US Rate Cuts New Growth Drivers

Economist Hassett Predicts US Rate Cuts New Growth Drivers

White House economic advisor Hassett believes the US has significant room for interest rate cuts, potentially leading to a return to 3% economic growth and 1% inflation. He highlighted productivity gains driven by AI and shared his views on trade and Federal Reserve policies. Investors should pay close attention to policy changes and economic data, while cautiously managing market risks. This outlook suggests potential opportunities and challenges depending on how these factors evolve.

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Oil Prices Fall Despite Unexpected US Crude Inventory Drop

Oil Prices Fall Despite Unexpected US Crude Inventory Drop

EIA data revealed a larger-than-expected draw in US crude oil inventories. However, gasoline and distillate inventories saw a much larger-than-expected increase. Coupled with discrepancies between EIA and private data, this raised concerns about demand, weighing on oil prices. Investors should comprehensively analyze all data points and market sentiment for rational decision-making.

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Rupee Weakens Amid USDINR Volatility RBI Steps In

Rupee Weakens Amid USDINR Volatility RBI Steps In

This article analyzes the movement of USDINR, focusing on the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) intervention, US employment data, and the upcoming US CPI data release. Technical analysis indicates that USDINR is fluctuating within an ascending channel, with bulls and bears battling at key levels. The article emphasizes that investors should comprehensively consider both fundamental and technical factors to make informed decisions. The interplay of these factors will likely determine the future direction of the USDINR pair.

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US Jobless Claims Drop Sharply Defying Economic Concerns

US Jobless Claims Drop Sharply Defying Economic Concerns

US initial jobless claims unexpectedly plunged to 191,000, a near one-year low and far below market expectations. This data reflects a strong labor market, but may increase pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. Market reaction included rising yields and a stronger dollar. Moving forward, close attention should be paid to employment data, while remaining vigilant about potential lagging effects and balancing the risks of inflation and recession.

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Chicago Fed Reports Modest Drop in Unemployment Despite Data Issues

Chicago Fed Reports Modest Drop in Unemployment Despite Data Issues

The Chicago Fed's November unemployment rate forecast indicates a slight improvement, but the forecast was adjusted due to the delayed release of non-farm payroll data. The probability distribution of the unemployment rate is skewed upwards, suggesting future risks. This tracker provides investors with real-time economic insights, but should be considered in conjunction with other data for a comprehensive assessment. The adjustment highlights the impact of data availability on economic forecasting.

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Gold Futures Technical Analysis and Risk Strategies

Gold Futures Technical Analysis and Risk Strategies

This article provides an in-depth technical analysis of the recent gold futures market, focusing on channel breakouts, trap patterns, and potential bull flag formations. It also offers risk-managed trading strategies, including entry points, stop-loss placements, and target price suggestions for both bullish and bearish scenarios. The analysis emphasizes that technical analysis is not a predictive tool, but rather a method for identifying high-risk-reward opportunities. The importance of risk management is strongly highlighted throughout the analysis.

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Silver Prices Jump on Geopolitical Risks Trump Tariff Threats

Silver Prices Jump on Geopolitical Risks Trump Tariff Threats

This paper analyzes the surge in silver prices under the Trump administration's tariff threats, exploring the impact of tariffs, stagflation risks, and market sentiment. It also examines silver's supply and demand fundamentals, compares it to other precious metals, and discusses investment strategies and risk management. Furthermore, the strategic value of Greenland is highlighted. The analysis reminds investors to pay close attention to geopolitical risks and make prudent decisions, as these factors significantly influence silver price volatility in the current global economic climate.

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