US Freight Market Faces Trade War Challenges TD Cowen Index

US Freight Market Faces Trade War Challenges TD Cowen Index

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index Q2 report unveils the challenges and trends in the US freight market under the shadow of the trade war. Analyzing the current market situation in various modes like truckload, parcel, and LTL, the report points out that tariffs, demand shifts, and capacity adjustments are key factors influencing the market. The report emphasizes the need for businesses to closely monitor market dynamics and flexibly adjust strategies to cope with uncertainties. This includes understanding the impact of tariffs and adapting to changing consumer demand.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Shifts Under Tariffs and Demand TD Cowenafs Index

Freight Market Shifts Under Tariffs and Demand TD Cowenafs Index

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index report indicates that tariff policies, declining consumer confidence, and changes in carrier pricing strategies are impacting the freight market. In trucking, front-loading of inventory is driving up rates, but increased short-haul shipments are lowering overall costs. For parcel, carriers are adjusting prices more frequently, and fuel surcharges are rising, but sales growth faces challenges. In LTL, pricing remains strong despite economic headwinds. The report highlights the complex interplay of factors influencing freight costs and volumes across different transportation modes.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals a diverging US freight market. Parcel demand is weak with unprecedented discounts and declining fuel surcharges. LTL shipments show declining weight per shipment, but carrier pricing remains firm. Truckload faces headwinds from soft demand and excess capacity, hindering near-term improvement. While future Fed rate cuts are beneficial for long-term truckload and LTL prospects, their immediate impact is limited. The report highlights the contrasting dynamics within different segments of the US freight sector, reflecting broader economic conditions and supply chain adjustments.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Sentiment Mixed in Q3 TD Cowen Reports

Freight Market Sentiment Mixed in Q3 TD Cowen Reports

The latest TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals a diverging Q3 logistics market: unprecedented parcel discounts, resilient LTL pricing, and weak truckload demand. Anticipated Fed rate cuts are unlikely to immediately impact freight pricing. Holiday season parcel competition will intensify, LTL prices will continue to rise, and a truckload recovery remains distant. The index highlights ongoing complexities in the freight sector, with varying performance across different transportation modes. The parcel sector is facing significant pricing pressure, while LTL demonstrates strength. Truckload continues to struggle with soft demand.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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TD Cowen Report Analyzes Q3 Freight Pricing Trends

TD Cowen Report Analyzes Q3 Freight Pricing Trends

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index Q3 report reveals a complex transformation in the US freight market. Parcel shipping sees unprecedented discounts, LTL pricing remains firm, while truckload demand is weak. The report analyzes data to forecast future trends, providing guidance for businesses in developing transportation strategies. Companies need to pay close attention to market dynamics and respond flexibly to stay competitive. This report highlights the importance of adaptability in navigating the current freight landscape.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Peak Season Freight Market Capacity Rates and Resilience Trends

Peak Season Freight Market Capacity Rates and Resilience Trends

This LM Podcast Series expert interview delves into the freight logistics market, focusing on peak season outlook, capacity and rate dynamics, nearshoring trends, and the impact of the Baltimore incident. Businesses should strengthen supply chain risk management, build diversified networks, and leverage data-driven decision-making to navigate market challenges and seize development opportunities. The discussion highlights the importance of proactive strategies and resilience in the face of evolving market conditions and potential disruptions within the freight and logistics landscape.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Braces for Weak Peak Season TD Cowen

Freight Market Braces for Weak Peak Season TD Cowen

The Cowen/AFS Freight Index indicates a slight increase in LTL rates in Q3, driven by factors like Yellow's bankruptcy and soft demand. Parcel rates decreased. A muted peak season is anticipated for Q4, with limited TL freight growth. The index reflects the current complex and volatile freight market, along with a trend of shippers actively optimizing their logistics networks. The impact of Yellow's exit and ongoing economic uncertainty are key factors shaping the near-term outlook for the industry.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Fedex USPS Contract Talks Stall As Shipping Demand Drops

Fedex USPS Contract Talks Stall As Shipping Demand Drops

The contract between FedEx and USPS is nearing expiration, presenting renewal negotiation challenges. Reduced air cargo volume from USPS has negatively impacted FedEx's profits, requiring both parties to find a balance between cost control and service optimization. The outcome of these negotiations will affect both companies and the broader logistics landscape. Key issues include pricing, service levels, and the future of their long-standing partnership. A successful renewal hinges on addressing these concerns and finding mutually beneficial solutions amidst evolving market dynamics.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Fedex USPS Face Stalemate in Contract Renewal Negotiations

Fedex USPS Face Stalemate in Contract Renewal Negotiations

The FedEx-USPS partnership faces renewal challenges as USPS's cost control strategies impact FedEx's business volume. FedEx is responding by optimizing its network and expanding its e-commerce business. Industry experts believe both parties need to control costs and improve profitability. If the partnership isn't renewed, UPS could be a potential alternative. FedEx's future development faces strategic choices. The renewal hinges on aligning cost structures and ensuring mutual benefit amidst evolving market dynamics and increasing competition in the logistics sector.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Fedex USPS Rethink Lucrative Delivery Partnership

Fedex USPS Rethink Lucrative Delivery Partnership

The significant contract between FedEx and the United States Postal Service (USPS) is nearing expiration, signaling a major shift in their relationship. USPS's reduction in air cargo volume to cut costs is impacting FedEx's revenue. FedEx is proactively responding through its DRIVE program and network redesign to enhance efficiency. The future collaboration model remains uncertain, and the outcome will have profound implications for the entire logistics industry. The evolving dynamics between these two giants will reshape the landscape of package delivery and logistics services.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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