Freight Carriers Face Overcapacity As Economy Shifts Q3 Report

Freight Carriers Face Overcapacity As Economy Shifts Q3 Report

The TD Cowen/AFS Third Quarter Freight Index report reveals how carriers are navigating challenges like excess capacity and declining rates. The report analyzes costs, demand, and policy impacts across truckload, parcel, and LTL transportation, while also looking ahead to future trends. Digital transformation and intelligent upgrades are identified as inevitable developments within the freight industry. This report provides insights into the current state and anticipated evolution of the freight market, highlighting the need for adaptation and innovation to thrive in a changing landscape.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Q1 Trucking Gains As LTL Struggles Parcel Prices Rise

Q1 Trucking Gains As LTL Struggles Parcel Prices Rise

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates emerging signs of recovery in the truckload market, with rising spot rates, although contract rates remain under pressure. Parcel pricing strategies are proving effective, with fuel surcharge adjustments generating revenue, but discount competition is intense. While LTL rates remain stable, pricing discipline is beginning to erode, and fuel surcharges are declining. The report offers insights into current trends and challenges within the freight transportation industry, highlighting the interplay of spot and contract rates, pricing strategies, and fuel surcharges.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals a diverging US freight market. Parcel demand is weak with unprecedented discounts and declining fuel surcharges. LTL shipments show declining weight per shipment, but carrier pricing remains firm. Truckload faces headwinds from soft demand and excess capacity, hindering near-term improvement. While future Fed rate cuts are beneficial for long-term truckload and LTL prospects, their immediate impact is limited. The report highlights the contrasting dynamics within different segments of the US freight sector, reflecting broader economic conditions and supply chain adjustments.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Trucking Volume Rises in January Signaling Strong Start

US Trucking Volume Rises in January Signaling Strong Start

The American Trucking Associations reported a 0.7% month-over-month increase in the U.S. truck tonnage index for January, marking the second consecutive month of growth. This data, considered a leading economic indicator, may suggest a gradual recovery in U.S. economic activity. However, the limitations of relying on a single month's data should be acknowledged, and future trends require continuous monitoring.

01/16/2026 Logistics
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Logistics Sector Marks 14month Growth Streak in LMI

Logistics Sector Marks 14month Growth Streak in LMI

The latest Logistics Manager's Index (LMI) indicates that the US logistics industry has expanded for 14 consecutive months, signaling continued robust growth. Inventory expansion is accelerating, warehousing prices are rising, transportation capacity continues to expand, and transportation price increases are slowing down. Businesses need to pay attention to changes in trade policies, optimize inventory management, and improve supply chain efficiency to navigate the evolving landscape.

11/03/2025 Logistics
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