This article analyzes the RMB exchange rate trend in 2025, discussing the impact of the year-end settlement peak on the RMB exchange rate. Combining predictions from multiple securities institutions and the policy stance, it provides reasonable settlement strategy recommendations for foreign trade enterprises. The aim is to help companies cope with exchange rate fluctuations and achieve stable operations.
The Harmonized System Committee of the World Customs Organization has revised the correlation table of commodities under subheadings 1605.54 and 1605.59 in the 2012 and 2017 editions of the Harmonized System. Enterprises involved in the import and export of relevant aquatic invertebrate products should pay attention to and adjust their commodity code declarations to ensure trade compliance and avoid losses caused by incorrect coding.
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BOC Securities' Guan Tao points out that the recent RMB appreciation is supported by multiple factors, but uncertainties remain. The dollar's trajectory, external environment changes, and economic fundamentals will all affect the RMB exchange rate. He emphasizes that the exchange rate acts as a 'shock absorber' in the short term, while economic fundamentals determine its long-term trend. He urges a rational view of current exchange rate fluctuations and cautions against excessive optimism.
This paper analyzes the recent sharp fluctuations in the RMB exchange rate, discusses the central bank's measures to stabilize the exchange rate, and deeply analyzes the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on the cross-border e-commerce industry. The article points out that RMB exchange rate fluctuations bring both challenges and opportunities. Companies should pay close attention to market dynamics, flexibly adjust their business strategies, and effectively manage exchange rate risks. This includes strategies for hedging and pricing to mitigate potential losses and capitalize on favorable exchange rate movements.
A WCO workshop explored using the Harmonized System (HS) code to identify and manage traded chemicals, supporting environmental sustainability. The discussions emphasized the need for improvements to the HS system and promoted dialogue on a 'Green HS'. This aims to leverage HS codes for better tracking and regulation of chemicals with environmental impacts, ultimately fostering more sustainable trade practices and contributing to global environmental protection efforts. The workshop highlighted the potential of the HS code to play a crucial role in achieving a greener and more responsible chemical trade landscape.
A World Customs Organization seminar explored the role of HS codes in fostering sustainable development within the textile industry. Key issues highlighted included the identification of environmentally friendly textiles, value chain transparency, and the standardization of the circular economy. The seminar aimed to promote the adaptation of HS codes to environmental needs and contribute to the construction of a green textile trade system. Discussions focused on how updated HS classifications can better track and incentivize sustainable practices throughout the textile supply chain, ultimately supporting a more environmentally responsible industry.
This paper explores how the Harmonized System (HS) code can promote the sustainable development of global fisheries. By refining the classification of aquaculture products, establishing specific codes for key traded species, and incorporating CITES species and species with Codex Alimentarius standards into the HS code, making the HS code more 'green', it can better monitor and manage global fisheries trade, thereby achieving sustainable fisheries development. The paper argues that a more detailed and environmentally conscious HS code is crucial for effective fisheries management and conservation.
Cambodia's foreign trade is diversifying by the end of 2025, with cashew exports expanding to the Middle East and growth in wire and cable exports. E-commerce taxation is becoming stricter, driving market expansion. However, the country faces challenges such as exchange rate fluctuations. The diversification efforts aim to reduce reliance on traditional markets and products, while the e-commerce tax aims to increase government revenue. Navigating the volatile exchange rates will be crucial for maintaining competitiveness and stability in the Cambodian economy.
BOC Securities' chief economist Guan Tao analyzes the RMB exchange rate trend, pointing out that the recent RMB appreciation benefits from a weak US dollar, trade surplus, and economic growth. However, it still faces uncertainties such as a US dollar rebound and weakening external demand. He emphasizes that the exchange rate serves as a "shock absorber" in the short term, while the long-term trend depends on economic fundamentals. He calls for a rational view of exchange rate fluctuations and cautions against blind optimism.
