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Drewry's independent analysis of the VLCC market provides investors with essential market insights, including supply and demand conditions, market dynamics, and future trends, helping clients better assess investment opportunities in the shipping sector.
Freight rates on US routes continue to decline, with the SCFI index falling for three consecutive weeks. The oversupply situation has made companies cautious about shipping, leading to concerns among industry insiders about future rate drops. Despite pressures from the global trade landscape, the market still hopes for a rebound in rates with the arrival of the traditional peak season.
In July 2024, China's export container transportation market showed stable improvement with an overall increase in freight rates, as the freight index for major routes generally rose. Despite ongoing challenges affecting the European and North American markets, port throughput has been trending upwards, and the ship leasing market remains active, demonstrating the resilience and potential of the container shipping market.
The American Trucking Associations reported a 0.7% month-over-month increase in the U.S. truck tonnage index for January, marking the second consecutive month of growth. This data, considered a leading economic indicator, may suggest a gradual recovery in U.S. economic activity. However, the limitations of relying on a single month's data should be acknowledged, and future trends require continuous monitoring.
U.S. non-manufacturing activity moderated slightly in September, but the NMI index remained above the expansion threshold, marking 116 consecutive months of growth. Thirteen industries expanded, while employment growth slowed. Imports and exports presented a mixed picture. Experts suggest there's no need for excessive concern, emphasizing the importance of monitoring trade and employment. They anticipate growth in the fourth quarter.
The Non-Manufacturing Index (NMI) reached a robust 59.1 in October, significantly exceeding the expansion threshold, indicating strong growth. Key indicators such as business activity/production, new orders, and employment all performed well, demonstrating strong market confidence. Experts predict a solid finish to the fourth quarter with substantial growth potential. Now is the prime time to seize opportunities and accelerate performance!
According to the American Trucking Associations, the freight tonnage index decreased month-over-month in April, although it still increased year-over-year but at a slower pace. Weakness in the spot market may impact the contract market. Businesses should pay attention to macroeconomic data, optimize capacity allocation, strengthen cost control, and expand diversified services to cope with uncertainty in the freight market.
