Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals a diverging US freight market. Parcel demand is weak with unprecedented discounts and declining fuel surcharges. LTL shipments show declining weight per shipment, but carrier pricing remains firm. Truckload faces headwinds from soft demand and excess capacity, hindering near-term improvement. While future Fed rate cuts are beneficial for long-term truckload and LTL prospects, their immediate impact is limited. The report highlights the contrasting dynamics within different segments of the US freight sector, reflecting broader economic conditions and supply chain adjustments.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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TD Cowen Freight Index Points to Q1 Demand Slowdown

TD Cowen Freight Index Points to Q1 Demand Slowdown

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates structural recovery signs in the spot market, pricing strategies, and LTL (Less-Than-Truckload) market, despite weak freight demand. Full Truckload faces overcapacity, and parcel shipping experiences intense competition. LTL pricing discipline may erode. Businesses need to monitor market dynamics and adjust strategies accordingly. This report highlights key trends in the freight market, including challenges in Full Truckload and parcel, while pointing to potential improvements in specific areas like LTL. Understanding these shifts is crucial for effective freight management.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Shows Pricing Gaps in Parcel LTL and Truckload Sectors

Freight Market Shows Pricing Gaps in Parcel LTL and Truckload Sectors

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index report reveals a divergence in Q3 pricing trends across parcel, LTL, and truckload sectors. Parcel experienced unprecedented discounting due to soft demand. LTL saw weight declines but maintained firm pricing. Truckload faced challenges from weak demand and excess capacity. The report provides valuable market insights for logistics industry participants, highlighting the contrasting performance of different freight modes amidst evolving market conditions. Understanding these trends is crucial for strategic decision-making in the current logistics landscape.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Sentiment Mixed in Q3 TD Cowen Reports

Freight Market Sentiment Mixed in Q3 TD Cowen Reports

The latest TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals a diverging Q3 logistics market: unprecedented parcel discounts, resilient LTL pricing, and weak truckload demand. Anticipated Fed rate cuts are unlikely to immediately impact freight pricing. Holiday season parcel competition will intensify, LTL prices will continue to rise, and a truckload recovery remains distant. The index highlights ongoing complexities in the freight sector, with varying performance across different transportation modes. The parcel sector is facing significant pricing pressure, while LTL demonstrates strength. Truckload continues to struggle with soft demand.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Truckload Rates and Volume Decline in July

US Truckload Rates and Volume Decline in July

DAT Freight & Analytics data indicates a decline in both freight rates and volumes in the U.S. spot truckload market from July 21-27. The dry van truckload ratio reached a record high, but linehaul rates decreased. Refrigerated freight rates experienced a significant drop due to weak agricultural shipments. Flatbed freight volumes and rates also declined. The market may be influenced by seasonal factors, and future trends remain to be seen.

01/28/2026 Logistics
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New Cowenafs Index Aims to Predict Freight Rate Trends

New Cowenafs Index Aims to Predict Freight Rate Trends

The Cowen/AFS Freight Index is released, providing institutional clients with pricing forecasts for LTL, TL, and parcel shipments to aid market decision-making. This index offers valuable insights into current and future freight rates, enabling businesses to optimize their logistics strategies and improve profitability. By leveraging the data and analysis provided, companies can make informed choices regarding carrier selection, contract negotiations, and overall transportation planning. The Cowen/AFS Freight Index is a crucial tool for navigating the complexities of the freight market.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Freight Market Faces Challenges Amid Shifting Strategies

US Freight Market Faces Challenges Amid Shifting Strategies

This paper delves into the challenges facing the current US freight market, including overcapacity and regulatory uncertainty in truckload, market share loss and price competition in parcel, and the digital transformation difficulties in less-than-truckload (LTL). It explores potential strategies for addressing these challenges and forecasts future trends in the freight market, emphasizing key areas such as sustainable development, supply chain resilience, and talent shortages. The analysis provides insights into navigating the evolving landscape of freight transportation.

01/08/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Parcel Discounts Rise As LTL Rates Hold Truckload Demand Slows TD Cowen

Parcel Discounts Rise As LTL Rates Hold Truckload Demand Slows TD Cowen

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index indicates a fragmented freight market: unprecedented discounts in parcel shipping, resilient or potentially increasing LTL pricing, and sluggish demand in truckload. Businesses should closely monitor market dynamics and flexibly adjust logistics strategies to capitalize on opportunities and navigate challenges. This includes leveraging parcel discounts while preparing for potential LTL rate hikes and optimizing truckload operations in a low-demand environment. Proactive adaptation is key to success in the current volatile freight landscape.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Pricing Strategies Split As Demand Weakens in Q1

Freight Pricing Strategies Split As Demand Weakens in Q1

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report reveals a market grappling with weak demand and excess capacity. Full Truckload (FTL) seeks price equilibrium, while Parcel struggles between pricing strategies and discount competition. Less-than-Truckload (LTL) faces cracks beneath seemingly firm prices. The report offers crucial market insights for freight companies, shippers, and investors, highlighting the challenges and opportunities within each transportation mode and the pricing pressures impacting the overall freight landscape. It serves as a valuable resource for navigating the complexities of the current freight market.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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TD Cowen Index Analyzes Parcel LTL and Truckload Pricing Trends

TD Cowen Index Analyzes Parcel LTL and Truckload Pricing Trends

The latest TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index report reveals a complex freight market. Parcel shipping faces intense discounting, while LTL (Less-Than-Truckload) pricing remains robust. Truckload demand, however, shows weakness. Shippers need a deep understanding of these market dynamics to navigate the challenges and adapt their strategies accordingly. The report highlights the contrasting trends across different freight modes, emphasizing the need for shippers to be agile and informed in their decision-making to optimize costs and maintain efficient supply chains.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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