Norwegian shipping company Golden Ocean Group expects that the dry bulk shipping market can absorb 10% of new vessel capacity due to port congestion and demand for coastal trade in China. Although the number of new ship deliveries needs to be reduced by 40% to maintain high charter rates, the market still shows resilience and potential for growth.
November US container imports decreased by 3.2% year-over-year, marking the third consecutive month of decline and falling below October's figures. This data potentially indicates cooling US consumer demand and global economic uncertainty. As a global trade indicator, the continued decline may signal challenges for the global economy, warranting close attention. The decreasing import volume suggests a weakening economic outlook and could foreshadow broader economic difficulties ahead.
S&P Global reports a 3.4% year-over-year decline in US imports for October, marking the third consecutive month of contraction, signaling weak import demand. High inflation, economic downturn risks, and Federal Reserve rate hikes are cited as key factors. The report anticipates continued downward pressure on US import volumes in the coming months, posing challenges for economic recovery. The sustained decline reflects weakening domestic demand and global economic headwinds.
U.S. diesel prices have risen for four consecutive weeks, showing a significant year-over-year increase, influenced by crude oil prices and geopolitical factors. This price surge will increase transportation costs, drive up commodity prices, and potentially lead to supply chain disruptions and slower economic growth. Businesses and individuals should proactively respond by improving fuel efficiency, optimizing transportation routes, and adopting alternative fuels, while closely monitoring market dynamics.
According to the Intermodal Association of North America, July's intermodal volume decreased by 3.2% year-over-year, with trailers experiencing a significant decline, while domestic containers saw growth. Experts suggest that port congestion, the pandemic, and chassis supply issues pose potential risks. Inflation and diesel prices present a double-edged sword. Moving forward, multimodal transportation needs to address challenges and seize opportunities in sustainable development and technological innovation.
North American Class 8 heavy-duty truck orders rebounded strongly in August, showing significant month-over-month growth, although still down year-over-year. Pent-up demand and fleet renewal are key drivers, but supply chain bottlenecks remain a constraint. Order volumes are expected to continue to increase in the coming months, with the market potentially recovering in 2023. Close attention to market dynamics is necessary to adjust business strategies accordingly.
According to the Intermodal Association of North America, total North American intermodal freight volume decreased by 1.8% year-over-year in July. However, domestic container and trailer shipments increased by 11% and 10.8% respectively, offsetting a 12.8% decline in international standard container shipments. The strong growth in domestic transportation reflects the resilience of the North American economy, while the decline in international transportation suggests the complexity of the global economic situation.
The latest Cass Freight Index report indicates that while February freight volume increased month-over-month, it declined year-over-year. International air freight remains weak, capacity is expanding, and the spot market is cooling. The report warns of the risk of economic contraction, urging businesses to closely monitor market dynamics and respond flexibly. Companies should be prepared for potential challenges in the logistics market as economic uncertainty persists.
China's GDP grew by 4.5% year-on-year in Q4 2025, slightly exceeding expectations, but retail sales growth fell short, indicating structural issues in economic growth. Industrial production was strong, but consumer spending remained weak, and real estate investment continued to decline. Policy recommendations include increasing support for SMEs, developing emerging industries, deepening reforms, strengthening social security, and stabilizing the real estate market to achieve more balanced and sustainable growth.
U.S. rail carload traffic saw a slight increase in July, while intermodal volume decreased. Total freight traffic for the first 28 weeks is down year-over-year. Infrastructure projects are supporting carload volume, but cooling consumer demand is impacting intermodal traffic. The divergence suggests a shift in freight patterns, potentially reflecting changes in economic activity and supply chain dynamics. Overall rail freight performance provides mixed signals regarding the current economic climate.
