The US tariff policy has triggered a trade war, severely impacting the global shipping industry. Sectors like container shipping, car transportation, and energy exports are all affected, leading to increased shipping rates and global economic uncertainty. The goal of revitalizing the US shipbuilding industry is unlikely to be achieved in the short term. Ultimately, consumers and businesses will pay the price for trade protectionism.
Although the trans-Pacific ocean freight container rates are on a downward trend, they remain approximately $1,000/FEU higher compared to the same period last year. The calm period after the Spring Festival has led to a price decline, and it is expected that as service models return to normal, contract rates will decrease.
Freight rates on US routes continue to decline, with the SCFI index falling for three consecutive weeks. The oversupply situation has made companies cautious about shipping, leading to concerns among industry insiders about future rate drops. Despite pressures from the global trade landscape, the market still hopes for a rebound in rates with the arrival of the traditional peak season.
Recently, the SCFI freight index from the Shanghai Shipping Exchange has continuously decreased, particularly along the West and East Coast routes of the U.S., with significant rate declines. Soft demand, coupled with the upcoming implementation of new tariff policies, presents fresh challenges and uncertainties for the market. Shipping companies are closely monitoring the impact of tariffs on import prices and the economy, anticipating large-scale shifts in the supply chain.
The international shipping market is affected by the trade war, leading to a short-term increase in freight rates. Shipping companies are adjusting routes to mitigate risks. Businesses need to closely monitor policies, diversify procurement sources, optimize supply chains, and strengthen risk management to adapt to market changes. The trade war introduces volatility and uncertainty, requiring proactive strategies for businesses involved in international trade and shipping to navigate the evolving landscape and minimize potential negative impacts on their operations and profitability.
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Several shipping companies have announced freight rate increases in late June, affecting routes to Europe, the Mediterranean, Africa, and South America. Companies like MSC, Maersk, Hapag-Lloyd, and CMA CGM are adjusting FAK rates and adding PSS surcharges. Businesses should plan ahead, optimize inventory, explore alternative solutions, and negotiate with customers to mitigate the impact of rising costs. This proactive approach is crucial for navigating the challenges posed by these freight rate adjustments and minimizing disruptions to the supply chain.
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) has announced an increase in shipping rates from the Far East to Europe, effective June 2025, covering Northern Europe, the Mediterranean, the Black Sea, and North Africa. This will increase supply chain cost pressures. Businesses need to optimize their layout, improve inventory management, negotiate freight rates, consider alternative transportation methods, and increase product added value to cope. Experts point out that the long-term upward trend of shipping costs cannot be ignored, and companies should pay close attention to market dynamics.
Cowen and AFS have partnered to launch a freight index, forecasting LTL, truckload, and parcel rates. The inaugural index reveals an increase in truckload rates and a decrease in LTL weight. This index provides valuable insights into the current state of the freight market and offers predictive analysis for future trends. It aims to assist shippers and carriers in making informed decisions regarding pricing and capacity planning. The index will be updated regularly to reflect the dynamic nature of the logistics industry.
Shipware experts delve into the current state of the parcel shipping market in a recent podcast, covering rates, peak season challenges, and tariff impacts. They emphasize the importance of businesses closely monitoring market dynamics and optimizing their logistics strategies. Leveraging professional services to reduce costs and improve efficiency is crucial for navigating increasing market competition. Companies should proactively adapt to changing conditions to maintain a competitive edge during peak seasons and beyond, focusing on strategies like rate negotiation and efficient parcel management.
