Trump's appointment of trade hawk Navarro and the establishment of the National Trade Council aim to revitalize American manufacturing and reduce the trade deficit. This move may weaken the U.S. Trade Representative's office, signaling a more protectionist U.S. trade policy. This shift could potentially trigger global trade friction and have a profound impact on the global economy.
The logistics industry faces multiple challenges in 2026, including trade policies, technological changes, and market volatility. This report analyzes key factors such as policy impacts, technology enablement, and freight rate outlooks. It proposes strategic recommendations like building agile supply chains, strengthening risk management, and embracing digital transformation. The aim is to help businesses achieve sustainable development amidst uncertainty.
The Trump administration's tariff policy experienced a rapid reversal within 24 hours, highlighting the uncertainty of the US tariff environment. Cross-border e-commerce businesses should mitigate risks through market and platform diversification, and enhancing supply chain resilience. Multi-platform management tools, such as E-Cang ERP, can help companies operate efficiently and cope with trade challenges.
The US Non-Manufacturing Index edged down to 55.5 in July, but remained in expansion territory, indicating a solid economic foundation. New orders and business activity continued to grow, while employment slowed slightly. Sector performance was mixed. Going forward, attention should be paid to the impact of global economic uncertainties and policy factors on the non-manufacturing sector.
The latest JOLTS data reveals a surge in US job openings alongside a record low quit rate, highlighting a contradiction between strong labor demand and low worker confidence. This complex data presents a dilemma for the Federal Reserve's policy direction. Investors should exercise caution, diversify their investments, closely monitor economic indicators, and seek professional advice to navigate the uncertainty.
On July 9, Trump reiterated the threat of increased tariffs, while Treasury Secretary Becerra noted that some countries might reach agreements, but not all parties would meet deadlines. The U.S. Secretary of Commerce stated that an agreement with ten major trading partners is forthcoming, increasing pressure on national survival. Cargo owners and freight forwarders must closely monitor policy changes to mitigate potential risks.
Data from Huangpu Customs shows that in the first quarter of 2025, the value and number of cross-border e-commerce exports to overseas warehouses reached historic highs, increasing by 3.1 times and 3.4 times respectively. Policy support has lowered entry barriers and encouraged companies to expand into international markets, driving continuous prosperity in the cross-border e-commerce industry.
BAF (Bunker Adjustment Factor) is a fee established by shipping companies to address fluctuations in fuel prices. By dynamically adjusting this fee, companies can manage cost changes. Combined with the IMO's low-sulfur fuel policy, BAF impacts logistics costs on shipping routes. Flexport has incorporated BAF into its rates to provide clients with a more transparent fee structure and better budget management.
The New Western Land-Sea Corridor faces multiple challenges in enhancing its iron-sea intermodal transportation capabilities, including inadequate infrastructure, weak industrial coordination, and a lack of regional cooperation. By strengthening infrastructure development, integrating resources, and optimizing policy guidance, it is possible to improve the overall transportation efficiency of this corridor, thereby supporting the economic development of the western region.
China's social logistics costs remain high, placing a heavy burden on enterprises and affecting economic transformation. Various fees are still widespread, particularly in highways and import-export sectors, with high costs and inconsistent standards, intensifying pressure on businesses. It is crucial to strengthen policy implementation, regulate charging mechanisms, and promote cost reduction to enhance enterprise competitiveness and achieve sustainable economic development.
