Freight Market Rebounds As TD Cowen Index Signals Rate Hikes

Freight Market Rebounds As TD Cowen Index Signals Rate Hikes

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index reveals pockets of optimism amidst challenges of soft demand and excess capacity. Truckload spot rates are increasing, and parcel pricing strategies are proving effective. However, LTL pricing discipline may be weakening. The index anticipates varying degrees of rate increases across different transportation modes in Q1 2025. While headwinds persist, certain segments demonstrate resilience and potential for growth, suggesting a complex and evolving freight market landscape. Monitoring these trends is crucial for informed decision-making.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Freight Market Faces Trade War Challenges TD Cowen Index

US Freight Market Faces Trade War Challenges TD Cowen Index

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index Q2 report unveils the challenges and trends in the US freight market under the shadow of the trade war. Analyzing the current market situation in various modes like truckload, parcel, and LTL, the report points out that tariffs, demand shifts, and capacity adjustments are key factors influencing the market. The report emphasizes the need for businesses to closely monitor market dynamics and flexibly adjust strategies to cope with uncertainties. This includes understanding the impact of tariffs and adapting to changing consumer demand.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Shifts Under Tariffs and Demand TD Cowenafs Index

Freight Market Shifts Under Tariffs and Demand TD Cowenafs Index

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index report indicates that tariff policies, declining consumer confidence, and changes in carrier pricing strategies are impacting the freight market. In trucking, front-loading of inventory is driving up rates, but increased short-haul shipments are lowering overall costs. For parcel, carriers are adjusting prices more frequently, and fuel surcharges are rising, but sales growth faces challenges. In LTL, pricing remains strong despite economic headwinds. The report highlights the complex interplay of factors influencing freight costs and volumes across different transportation modes.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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TD Cowen Index Shows Freight Market Shifts During Peak Season

TD Cowen Index Shows Freight Market Shifts During Peak Season

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals emerging trends in the freight market: LTL pricing impacted by Yellow's closure, fuel surcharges rebound; Ground parcel discounts deepen, but demand surcharges loom; Truckload sees a short-term volume increase, peak season expectations are muted. The index provides shippers with valuable insights for informed decision-making. The LTL market is experiencing significant price volatility due to the disruption caused by Yellow's bankruptcy. Shippers need to carefully monitor these changes and adjust their strategies accordingly.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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New Freight Index by Cowen AFS Aims to Predict Market Trends

New Freight Index by Cowen AFS Aims to Predict Market Trends

Cowen and AFS Logistics jointly launched a freight index designed to provide investors with a predictive pricing tool covering LTL, Truckload, and Parcel transportation. The index's key strengths lie in its forward-looking forecasting capabilities and segmented market insights. Through data-driven models, it predicts future rate trends, helping investors plan ahead. This index also marks AFS Logistics' transition from behind-the-scenes to the forefront, transforming massive data into commercial value. It offers valuable insights for investment decisions within the dynamic logistics landscape.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Index Shows Early Recovery Signs As Intermodal Prices Diverge in Q1 2025

Freight Index Shows Early Recovery Signs As Intermodal Prices Diverge in Q1 2025

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index report reveals a diverging trend across various transportation modes in the US freight market, amidst weak demand and excess capacity. Truckload transportation shows cautious optimism, while the parcel sector witnesses intense pricing strategy competition. LTL (Less-Than-Truckload) transportation faces challenges in maintaining pricing discipline. The report provides crucial decision-making insights for industry participants, highlighting the nuances in pricing and demand dynamics across different freight segments. It offers a valuable overview of the current market conditions and potential future trends.

12/31/2025 Logistics Industry Insights
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Trucking Conditions Improve Slightly As Fuel Costs Decline

Trucking Conditions Improve Slightly As Fuel Costs Decline

The FTR Trucking Conditions Index for August, while still negative, showed improvement compared to the previous two months, primarily driven by lower diesel prices. However, the index remains in contraction territory, suggesting that weak demand may offset the positive impact of reduced fuel costs. Freight companies should maintain cautious optimism and be prepared to navigate market uncertainties. The slight rebound offers a glimmer of hope, but sustained recovery hinges on broader economic factors and demand stabilization.

01/16/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals a diverging US freight market. Parcel demand is weak with unprecedented discounts and declining fuel surcharges. LTL shipments show declining weight per shipment, but carrier pricing remains firm. Truckload faces headwinds from soft demand and excess capacity, hindering near-term improvement. While future Fed rate cuts are beneficial for long-term truckload and LTL prospects, their immediate impact is limited. The report highlights the contrasting dynamics within different segments of the US freight sector, reflecting broader economic conditions and supply chain adjustments.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Rebounds Amid Persistent Challenges FTR

Freight Market Rebounds Amid Persistent Challenges FTR

FTR's SCI index indicates continued improvement in shipper conditions, but the market recovery remains sluggish. Weak conditions are expected for the next few years, requiring flexibility and optimized supply chains. Shippers should focus on strategies to mitigate risks and capitalize on opportunities within this evolving environment. This includes exploring alternative transportation modes, negotiating favorable rates, and leveraging technology to enhance visibility and efficiency. Proactive planning and adaptability are crucial for navigating the current freight market landscape.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Shows Pricing Gaps in Parcel LTL and Truckload Sectors

Freight Market Shows Pricing Gaps in Parcel LTL and Truckload Sectors

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index report reveals a divergence in Q3 pricing trends across parcel, LTL, and truckload sectors. Parcel experienced unprecedented discounting due to soft demand. LTL saw weight declines but maintained firm pricing. Truckload faced challenges from weak demand and excess capacity. The report provides valuable market insights for logistics industry participants, highlighting the contrasting performance of different freight modes amidst evolving market conditions. Understanding these trends is crucial for strategic decision-making in the current logistics landscape.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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