Freight Index Shows Early Recovery Signs As Intermodal Prices Diverge in Q1 2025

Freight Index Shows Early Recovery Signs As Intermodal Prices Diverge in Q1 2025

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index report reveals a diverging trend across various transportation modes in the US freight market, amidst weak demand and excess capacity. Truckload transportation shows cautious optimism, while the parcel sector witnesses intense pricing strategy competition. LTL (Less-Than-Truckload) transportation faces challenges in maintaining pricing discipline. The report provides crucial decision-making insights for industry participants, highlighting the nuances in pricing and demand dynamics across different freight segments. It offers a valuable overview of the current market conditions and potential future trends.

12/31/2025 Logistics Industry Insights
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Q1 Trucking Gains As LTL Struggles Parcel Prices Rise

Q1 Trucking Gains As LTL Struggles Parcel Prices Rise

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates emerging signs of recovery in the truckload market, with rising spot rates, although contract rates remain under pressure. Parcel pricing strategies are proving effective, with fuel surcharge adjustments generating revenue, but discount competition is intense. While LTL rates remain stable, pricing discipline is beginning to erode, and fuel surcharges are declining. The report offers insights into current trends and challenges within the freight transportation industry, highlighting the interplay of spot and contract rates, pricing strategies, and fuel surcharges.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Index Shows Signs of Recovery Amid Q1 Market Struggles

Freight Index Shows Signs of Recovery Amid Q1 Market Struggles

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates emerging signs of recovery in trucking, although overcapacity persists. Parcel shipping pricing strategies are proving effective, but the risk of discounts remains a concern. Less-than-truckload (LTL) pricing discipline faces challenges, with growth slowing. The report highlights the current state and future trends across various transportation modes, providing valuable insights for market participants. It underscores the complexities of balancing demand, capacity, and pricing in a dynamic freight environment.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Q1 Trucking Gains Amid Parcel Pricing Shifts LTL Weakness

Q1 Trucking Gains Amid Parcel Pricing Shifts LTL Weakness

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates flat but promising truckload demand, successful yet competitive parcel pricing strategies, and firm but fracturing LTL rates. The report offers valuable market trend insights for freight market participants. While truckload shows signs of improvement, parcel faces intense competition. LTL, though currently stable, shows potential weaknesses. The index provides a comprehensive overview of the current state of the freight market, assisting stakeholders in making informed decisions based on observed trends and pricing dynamics across different modes of transport.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Rebounds As TD Cowen Index Signals Rate Hikes

Freight Market Rebounds As TD Cowen Index Signals Rate Hikes

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index reveals pockets of optimism amidst challenges of soft demand and excess capacity. Truckload spot rates are increasing, and parcel pricing strategies are proving effective. However, LTL pricing discipline may be weakening. The index anticipates varying degrees of rate increases across different transportation modes in Q1 2025. While headwinds persist, certain segments demonstrate resilience and potential for growth, suggesting a complex and evolving freight market landscape. Monitoring these trends is crucial for informed decision-making.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Freight Market Faces Trade War Challenges TD Cowen Index

US Freight Market Faces Trade War Challenges TD Cowen Index

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index Q2 report unveils the challenges and trends in the US freight market under the shadow of the trade war. Analyzing the current market situation in various modes like truckload, parcel, and LTL, the report points out that tariffs, demand shifts, and capacity adjustments are key factors influencing the market. The report emphasizes the need for businesses to closely monitor market dynamics and flexibly adjust strategies to cope with uncertainties. This includes understanding the impact of tariffs and adapting to changing consumer demand.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Shifts Under Tariffs and Demand TD Cowenafs Index

Freight Market Shifts Under Tariffs and Demand TD Cowenafs Index

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index report indicates that tariff policies, declining consumer confidence, and changes in carrier pricing strategies are impacting the freight market. In trucking, front-loading of inventory is driving up rates, but increased short-haul shipments are lowering overall costs. For parcel, carriers are adjusting prices more frequently, and fuel surcharges are rising, but sales growth faces challenges. In LTL, pricing remains strong despite economic headwinds. The report highlights the complex interplay of factors influencing freight costs and volumes across different transportation modes.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals a diverging US freight market. Parcel demand is weak with unprecedented discounts and declining fuel surcharges. LTL shipments show declining weight per shipment, but carrier pricing remains firm. Truckload faces headwinds from soft demand and excess capacity, hindering near-term improvement. While future Fed rate cuts are beneficial for long-term truckload and LTL prospects, their immediate impact is limited. The report highlights the contrasting dynamics within different segments of the US freight sector, reflecting broader economic conditions and supply chain adjustments.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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TD Cowen Index Shows Freight Market Shifts During Peak Season

TD Cowen Index Shows Freight Market Shifts During Peak Season

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals emerging trends in the freight market: LTL pricing impacted by Yellow's closure, fuel surcharges rebound; Ground parcel discounts deepen, but demand surcharges loom; Truckload sees a short-term volume increase, peak season expectations are muted. The index provides shippers with valuable insights for informed decision-making. The LTL market is experiencing significant price volatility due to the disruption caused by Yellow's bankruptcy. Shippers need to carefully monitor these changes and adjust their strategies accordingly.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Postal Reform Act Aims to Revive Struggling USPS

Postal Reform Act Aims to Revive Struggling USPS

The Postal Reform Act aims to improve the financial health of the United States Postal Service by eliminating pre-funding requirements for retirement benefits, integrating health insurance, and codifying the six-day delivery obligation. Experts argue this isn't a bailout but a correction of previous legislation's flaws. The success of the reform depends on addressing challenges like electric vehicle fleet deployment and delivery standards. The future of the USPS and its ability to thrive amidst competition remains to be seen.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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