Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals a diverging US freight market. Parcel demand is weak with unprecedented discounts and declining fuel surcharges. LTL shipments show declining weight per shipment, but carrier pricing remains firm. Truckload faces headwinds from soft demand and excess capacity, hindering near-term improvement. While future Fed rate cuts are beneficial for long-term truckload and LTL prospects, their immediate impact is limited. The report highlights the contrasting dynamics within different segments of the US freight sector, reflecting broader economic conditions and supply chain adjustments.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Freight Volume Falls for Third Month Signaling Economic Worries

US Freight Volume Falls for Third Month Signaling Economic Worries

Data from the U.S. Department of Transportation reveals a third consecutive monthly decline in the freight transportation services index in July, reflecting widespread decreases across rail, road, water, and pipeline transportation. Experts suggest this isn't merely a short-term fluctuation, but potentially indicative of structural issues within the U.S. economy, such as supply chain disruptions, labor shortages, and inflation. Businesses need to proactively adapt strategies and embrace digital transformation, while the government should strengthen infrastructure development and optimize the business environment to collectively address the challenges of economic recovery.

01/19/2026 Logistics
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US Truckload Market September Volumes Fall Rates Rise

US Truckload Market September Volumes Fall Rates Rise

In September, the US truckload market experienced a decline in volume but a rise in prices. The DAT index indicated a drop in dry van and refrigerated truckload volumes, with a slight increase in flatbed volume. Spot rates saw a minor increase, attributed by experts to freight imbalances and capacity shifts rather than genuine demand. The outlook for the upcoming peak season is pessimistic, with anticipated weak volumes. Some carriers may benefit from higher freight rates. The market faces increased uncertainty, requiring stakeholders to enhance risk management and adapt flexibly.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Trucking Sector Shows Signs of Recovery Amid LTL Parcel Shifts

Trucking Sector Shows Signs of Recovery Amid LTL Parcel Shifts

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates emerging signs of recovery in the truckload market, with rising spot rates and tender rejection rates. Parcel shipping pricing strategies proved effective, with fuel surcharge adjustments generating revenue. LTL rates remained stable, but pricing discipline is showing signs of weakening. Overall, the market is complex and dynamic, with each transportation mode facing unique challenges and opportunities. The report highlights the need for shippers to closely monitor market trends and adjust their strategies accordingly to optimize costs and maintain service levels.

01/20/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Trucking Sector Improves As LTL Faces Challenges TD Cowen Report

Trucking Sector Improves As LTL Faces Challenges TD Cowen Report

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates emerging optimism in the truckload market, with rising spot rates and increasing tender rejections. Parcel pricing strategies are proving effective, benefiting from fuel surcharge adjustments. LTL rates remain stable, but pricing discipline may be weakening. Overall, the macroeconomic outlook presents positive signals for carriers, but weak demand and excess capacity remain challenges. While the truckload sector shows signs of recovery, continued monitoring of pricing discipline in LTL and demand trends across all modes is crucial for assessing the sustained health of the freight market.

01/20/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Trucking Industry Struggles Persist Amid Mild Recovery FTR Data

Trucking Industry Struggles Persist Amid Mild Recovery FTR Data

FTR's Trucking Conditions Index (TCI) indicates that the trucking industry continues to face challenges such as excess capacity and weak freight volume growth, despite a slight improvement in September. The TCI is expected to remain negative until the end of next year. Stable fuel prices and a slight rebound in demand are positive factors, but the recovery path is long. Companies need to control costs, improve efficiency, diversify services, and pay attention to industry trends to cope with difficulties and embrace future opportunities. The industry requires careful navigation to weather the current storm.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Trucking Industry Proves Resilient Amid Economic Shifts

US Trucking Industry Proves Resilient Amid Economic Shifts

The Trucking Conditions Index (TCI) in the United States serves as a crucial indicator for assessing the health of the trucking industry. The recent sustained increase in the TCI signals robust growth within the sector. This analysis delves into the TCI data, underlying drivers, future outlook, and potential risks. It also proposes strategies for navigating the evolving landscape. The aim is to provide a comprehensive understanding of the American trucking industry's development and offer valuable insights for industry stakeholders. This analysis serves as a reference for related practitioners.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Trucking Tonnage Jump Hints at Freight Market Shift

Trucking Tonnage Jump Hints at Freight Market Shift

The American Trucking Associations (ATA) Truck Tonnage Index saw a significant increase in June, rising 2.7% month-over-month and 7.9% year-over-year, reaching a four-year high. This data reflects a shift in the freight market from spot to contract, indicating a steady economic recovery. Freight companies and shippers should pay close attention to market dynamics and strengthen cooperation to address challenges and seize opportunities. This growth suggests positive trends in the overall economy and highlights the importance of the trucking industry as a key economic indicator.

01/28/2026 Logistics
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US Truck Tonnage Declines in May Signaling Freight Slowdown

US Truck Tonnage Declines in May Signaling Freight Slowdown

The American Trucking Associations reported a slight decrease of 0.7% in the For-Hire Truck Tonnage Index for May, but an increase of 3.7% year-over-year. Despite short-term fluctuations, the overall tonnage remains higher than the same period last year. Gasoline demand and retail inventory rebuilding are supporting factors, but driver shortages remain a challenge. Close attention should be paid to macroeconomic conditions, industry data, and policy changes to strengthen risk management and explore new business models. This highlights the ongoing complexities and potential opportunities within the trucking sector.

01/28/2026 Logistics
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US Trucking Sector Rebounds in February Freight Data

US Trucking Sector Rebounds in February Freight Data

American Trucking Associations (ATA) data shows continued freight volume growth in February, with contract freight remaining high. Improved inventory cycles and increased infrastructure spending provide new impetus. However, downward pressure persists in real estate and manufacturing. Businesses should focus on market dynamics, optimize operations, expand business, and embrace technology to address challenges and seize opportunities for sustainable development. Monitor market trends, optimize operations, expand business, and leverage technology for sustainable growth.

01/16/2026 Logistics
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