Freight Index Shows Early Recovery Signs As Intermodal Prices Diverge in Q1 2025

Freight Index Shows Early Recovery Signs As Intermodal Prices Diverge in Q1 2025

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index report reveals a diverging trend across various transportation modes in the US freight market, amidst weak demand and excess capacity. Truckload transportation shows cautious optimism, while the parcel sector witnesses intense pricing strategy competition. LTL (Less-Than-Truckload) transportation faces challenges in maintaining pricing discipline. The report provides crucial decision-making insights for industry participants, highlighting the nuances in pricing and demand dynamics across different freight segments. It offers a valuable overview of the current market conditions and potential future trends.

12/31/2025 Logistics Industry Insights
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Q1 Trucking Gains As LTL Struggles Parcel Prices Rise

Q1 Trucking Gains As LTL Struggles Parcel Prices Rise

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates emerging signs of recovery in the truckload market, with rising spot rates, although contract rates remain under pressure. Parcel pricing strategies are proving effective, with fuel surcharge adjustments generating revenue, but discount competition is intense. While LTL rates remain stable, pricing discipline is beginning to erode, and fuel surcharges are declining. The report offers insights into current trends and challenges within the freight transportation industry, highlighting the interplay of spot and contract rates, pricing strategies, and fuel surcharges.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Q1 Trucking Gains Amid Parcel Pricing Shifts LTL Weakness

Q1 Trucking Gains Amid Parcel Pricing Shifts LTL Weakness

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates flat but promising truckload demand, successful yet competitive parcel pricing strategies, and firm but fracturing LTL rates. The report offers valuable market trend insights for freight market participants. While truckload shows signs of improvement, parcel faces intense competition. LTL, though currently stable, shows potential weaknesses. The index provides a comprehensive overview of the current state of the freight market, assisting stakeholders in making informed decisions based on observed trends and pricing dynamics across different modes of transport.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Shifts Under Tariffs and Demand TD Cowenafs Index

Freight Market Shifts Under Tariffs and Demand TD Cowenafs Index

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index report indicates that tariff policies, declining consumer confidence, and changes in carrier pricing strategies are impacting the freight market. In trucking, front-loading of inventory is driving up rates, but increased short-haul shipments are lowering overall costs. For parcel, carriers are adjusting prices more frequently, and fuel surcharges are rising, but sales growth faces challenges. In LTL, pricing remains strong despite economic headwinds. The report highlights the complex interplay of factors influencing freight costs and volumes across different transportation modes.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Imports Stay Elevated As Port Delays Strain Supply Chains

US Imports Stay Elevated As Port Delays Strain Supply Chains

A recent Descartes report indicates that US imports in August decreased by 3% compared to July, but remain significantly higher than pre-pandemic levels. Port congestion is worsening, leading to widespread shipping delays. The report highlights the dominance of West Coast ports and the concentration of import origins. Businesses should diversify their supply chains, optimize inventory management, strengthen logistics partnerships, embrace digitalization, and closely monitor policy changes to mitigate supply chain risks. These strategies are crucial for navigating the ongoing challenges and ensuring business continuity.

01/15/2026 Logistics
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Prologis Index Signals Logistics Real Estate Market Recovery

Prologis Index Signals Logistics Real Estate Market Recovery

The Prologis IBI Index report indicates a turning point in logistics real estate demand. The Q3 IBI activity index reached 53, signaling a market rebound with improvements in net absorption, new lease signings, and the pipeline of projects under construction. The report emphasizes that the recovery is non-linear, driven primarily by large enterprises and e-commerce companies. It anticipates that other sectors will follow suit, contributing to further market stabilization and growth in the coming quarters. The index suggests a positive outlook despite ongoing economic uncertainties.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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