Although the trans-Pacific ocean freight container rates are on a downward trend, they remain approximately $1,000/FEU higher compared to the same period last year. The calm period after the Spring Festival has led to a price decline, and it is expected that as service models return to normal, contract rates will decrease.
Container shipping rates continue to decline due to weak demand and supply-demand imbalances. In the short term, rates may decrease further; however, seasonal demand recovery in the second quarter could provide support for rates. At the same time, uncertainties in the global economic landscape and trade policies will continue to influence market trends.
June freight data reveals that the Port of Los Angeles achieved an 8% growth, marking its best performance in 117 years, while the Port of Long Beach faced a 16.4% decline. This fluctuation reflects the contrasting fortunes of the two major ports in the market environment, highlighting important considerations for businesses in their shipping decisions.
The surge in demand resulting from the US-China trade agreement brings potential risks to the supply chain. While the decline in idle ship rates indicates a recovery in capacity, shipping companies may face significant challenges including reduced quotas, difficulties in booking, and rising costs, which have a considerable economic impact on end consumers.
Between 2024 and 2025, the AUD to GBP exchange rate has shown weakness, with a cumulative decline of 5.63%. The current rate stands at 0.485036 GBP, with a low of 0.46358 GBP and a high of 0.521727 GBP. Multiple factors are influencing the exchange rate fluctuations, and the market will continue to monitor this dynamic.
In June, the Port of Los Angeles (POLA) recorded a freight volume of 892,340 TEUs, an 8% year-on-year increase and a historical record. In contrast, the Port of Long Beach (POLB) experienced a 16.4% decline, with a freight volume of 704,703 TEUs. This disparity in data reflects the different challenges and strategies faced by the ports.
In the bulk last mile delivery sector, third-party logistics (3PL) face both opportunities and challenges. Recent reports indicate that the US market size is approximately $10.15 billion, with future growth projected to decline at a lower CAGR. Contributing factors include tariff uncertainties and reduced consumer spending, while independent contractors represent 96.4% of the delivery workforce.
Freight rates on US routes continue to decline, with the SCFI index falling for three consecutive weeks. The oversupply situation has made companies cautious about shipping, leading to concerns among industry insiders about future rate drops. Despite pressures from the global trade landscape, the market still hopes for a rebound in rates with the arrival of the traditional peak season.
UPS's second-quarter earnings report revealed a revenue drop to $21.2 billion, a 2.7% year-over-year decline, with a basic earnings per share of $1.55, falling short of expectations. Operating profit also decreased by 6.3%. Pressure on performance has been attributed to market conditions and a decrease in Amazon orders, prompting UPS to seek new growth opportunities to address these challenges.
According to the Association of American Railroads, June showed positive growth in U.S. rail freight volume, although cross-border freight experienced a decline. This trend reflects the complex changes in the economic environment, with a year-on-year increase in total load during the first half of the year. Future market dynamics will depend on fluctuations in global supply chains and consumer demand.
