TD Cowen Index Signals Freight Recovery Despite Weak Demand

TD Cowen Index Signals Freight Recovery Despite Weak Demand

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report reveals overall soft freight market demand, but varying trends across transportation modes. Truckload spot market shows cautious optimism. Parcel shipping pricing strategies are effective, but discount competition is intense. LTL rates remain firm, but pricing discipline is loosening. The report emphasizes the need for carriers to be flexible and for shippers to optimize their supply chains. Despite the challenging environment, opportunities exist for those who can adapt and leverage data-driven insights to navigate the complexities of the current freight landscape.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Q1 Trucking Rebounds As LTL Sector Struggles TD Cowen Index

Q1 Trucking Rebounds As LTL Sector Struggles TD Cowen Index

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates emerging signs of recovery in the trucking market, with spot rates increasing but contract rates still under pressure. Parcel shipping pricing strategies are proving effective, though intense competition leads to significant discounts. Less-than-truckload (LTL) pricing remains robust, but declining fuel surcharges suggest a loosening of pricing discipline. The report provides valuable market insights for businesses, enabling them to develop agile transportation strategies. This information is crucial for navigating the current freight landscape and optimizing supply chain operations.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Resilient in November Amid Winter Challenges

Freight Market Resilient in November Amid Winter Challenges

DAT's latest report indicates that while overall freight volumes declined in November, they showed growth within the month. Dry van and refrigerated freight volumes decreased year-over-year, while flatbed volumes increased. Freight rates continued to decline due to excess capacity. Experts predict spot rates may have bottomed out and are expected to rebound in Q1 of next year, with the market moving towards normalization. Freight companies need to pay attention to market dynamics and respond flexibly. The report highlights the need for adaptability in the current freight environment.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Truckload Market September Volumes Fall Rates Rise

US Truckload Market September Volumes Fall Rates Rise

In September, the US truckload market experienced a decline in volume but a rise in prices. The DAT index indicated a drop in dry van and refrigerated truckload volumes, with a slight increase in flatbed volume. Spot rates saw a minor increase, attributed by experts to freight imbalances and capacity shifts rather than genuine demand. The outlook for the upcoming peak season is pessimistic, with anticipated weak volumes. Some carriers may benefit from higher freight rates. The market faces increased uncertainty, requiring stakeholders to enhance risk management and adapt flexibly.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Rates Climb Despite Falling Shipment Volumes

Freight Rates Climb Despite Falling Shipment Volumes

A peculiar phenomenon occurred in the U.S. freight market in September: freight volumes declined, yet spot rates unexpectedly increased. This rise wasn't driven by demand, but rather by freight imbalances and changes in capacity. Experts predict a disappointing peak season, potentially leading to continued trucking company bankruptcies. Truck drivers are advised to closely monitor the market, optimize operations, expand channels, invest cautiously, and seek professional assistance to navigate these challenges. The unusual rate increase despite lower volume highlights the complexities and potential instability within the current freight landscape.

01/22/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Trucking Sector Improves As LTL Faces Challenges TD Cowen Report

Trucking Sector Improves As LTL Faces Challenges TD Cowen Report

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates emerging optimism in the truckload market, with rising spot rates and increasing tender rejections. Parcel pricing strategies are proving effective, benefiting from fuel surcharge adjustments. LTL rates remain stable, but pricing discipline may be weakening. Overall, the macroeconomic outlook presents positive signals for carriers, but weak demand and excess capacity remain challenges. While the truckload sector shows signs of recovery, continued monitoring of pricing discipline in LTL and demand trends across all modes is crucial for assessing the sustained health of the freight market.

01/20/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Trucking Tonnage Jump Hints at Freight Market Shift

Trucking Tonnage Jump Hints at Freight Market Shift

The American Trucking Associations (ATA) Truck Tonnage Index saw a significant increase in June, rising 2.7% month-over-month and 7.9% year-over-year, reaching a four-year high. This data reflects a shift in the freight market from spot to contract, indicating a steady economic recovery. Freight companies and shippers should pay close attention to market dynamics and strengthen cooperation to address challenges and seize opportunities. This growth suggests positive trends in the overall economy and highlights the importance of the trucking industry as a key economic indicator.

01/28/2026 Logistics
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Truckload Market Rebounds Postthanksgiving DAT Analysis

Truckload Market Rebounds Postthanksgiving DAT Analysis

DAT's latest data reveals a significant 114% surge in US truckload spot freight volume post-Thanksgiving, reaching a high not seen since July. Dry van, refrigerated, and flatbed freight volumes all experienced notable increases, tightening capacity and driving up the load-to-truck ratio. Analysts attribute this market rebound to a combination of seasonal demand, easing supply chain constraints, capacity adjustments, and macroeconomic factors. However, the sustainability of this rebound remains to be seen. Businesses are advised to strengthen data analysis and optimize capacity management to navigate the evolving market conditions.

01/30/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Q1 Trucking Gains As LTL Sector Struggles Parcel Prices Rise

Q1 Trucking Gains As LTL Sector Struggles Parcel Prices Rise

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates emerging light in trucking, with spot rates rising, though contract rates remain under pressure. Parcel pricing strategies are proving effective, but competition is fierce. LTL pricing discipline is loosening, leaving the future uncertain. The report provides valuable insights for freight professionals and investors, highlighting key trends in the trucking, parcel, and LTL sectors. It offers a comprehensive overview of the current market conditions and potential future developments.

01/17/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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