Freight Pricing Strategies Split As Demand Weakens in Q1

Freight Pricing Strategies Split As Demand Weakens in Q1

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report reveals a market grappling with weak demand and excess capacity. Full Truckload (FTL) seeks price equilibrium, while Parcel struggles between pricing strategies and discount competition. Less-than-Truckload (LTL) faces cracks beneath seemingly firm prices. The report offers crucial market insights for freight companies, shippers, and investors, highlighting the challenges and opportunities within each transportation mode and the pricing pressures impacting the overall freight landscape. It serves as a valuable resource for navigating the complexities of the current freight market.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals a diverging US freight market. Parcel demand is weak with unprecedented discounts and declining fuel surcharges. LTL shipments show declining weight per shipment, but carrier pricing remains firm. Truckload faces headwinds from soft demand and excess capacity, hindering near-term improvement. While future Fed rate cuts are beneficial for long-term truckload and LTL prospects, their immediate impact is limited. The report highlights the contrasting dynamics within different segments of the US freight sector, reflecting broader economic conditions and supply chain adjustments.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Trucking Sector Improves As LTL Faces Challenges TD Cowen Report

Trucking Sector Improves As LTL Faces Challenges TD Cowen Report

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates emerging optimism in the truckload market, with rising spot rates and increasing tender rejections. Parcel pricing strategies are proving effective, benefiting from fuel surcharge adjustments. LTL rates remain stable, but pricing discipline may be weakening. Overall, the macroeconomic outlook presents positive signals for carriers, but weak demand and excess capacity remain challenges. While the truckload sector shows signs of recovery, continued monitoring of pricing discipline in LTL and demand trends across all modes is crucial for assessing the sustained health of the freight market.

01/20/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Truckload Market September Volumes Fall Rates Rise

US Truckload Market September Volumes Fall Rates Rise

In September, the US truckload market experienced a decline in volume but a rise in prices. The DAT index indicated a drop in dry van and refrigerated truckload volumes, with a slight increase in flatbed volume. Spot rates saw a minor increase, attributed by experts to freight imbalances and capacity shifts rather than genuine demand. The outlook for the upcoming peak season is pessimistic, with anticipated weak volumes. Some carriers may benefit from higher freight rates. The market faces increased uncertainty, requiring stakeholders to enhance risk management and adapt flexibly.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Truckload Spot Market Struggles Amid Economic Pressures

Truckload Spot Market Struggles Amid Economic Pressures

DAT analysts interpret truckload spot market data, pointing to rate corrections, increased shipper leverage, and challenges for small carriers. The flatbed market remains strong, while refrigerated freight faces pressure, and dry van rates still have room to decline. The analysis highlights a shift in market dynamics. The report suggests monitoring the potential market rebound and capacity growth in the near future, as these factors will significantly influence freight rates and carrier profitability. This analysis provides valuable insights for stakeholders navigating the evolving freight landscape.

01/19/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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LTL Freight Grows As Truckload Sector Struggles

LTL Freight Grows As Truckload Sector Struggles

The freight market is experiencing weak demand, leading to divergent performance between LTL and TL carriers. LTL freight demonstrates greater resilience due to its business characteristics and industry barriers. Truckload transportation faces more significant challenges and requires proactive transformation and diversification to adapt to market changes. The market is becoming increasingly differentiated, highlighting the need for strategic adjustments by companies in both segments to navigate the current economic climate and maintain competitiveness.

01/19/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Truckload Market Struggles Amid Overcapacity Weak Demand

Truckload Market Struggles Amid Overcapacity Weak Demand

DAT reports a weak overall US freight market in October, with declining freight volumes and only a slight, unsustainable increase in spot rates. Weak demand and overcapacity are the primary drivers. The market is expected to remain volatile through 2025. Freight companies need to optimize operations, diversify services, and proactively address these challenges.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Trucking Slump Deepens As DAT Freight Index Hits Record Low

Trucking Slump Deepens As DAT Freight Index Hits Record Low

The DAT Truckload Volume Index indicates a decrease in freight volume and falling freight rates in February, signaling excess capacity. Experts suggest the market is normalizing, with overcapacity being a key challenge. Businesses need to improve efficiency, control costs, expand channels, enhance services, invest in technology, flexibly adjust capacity, strengthen risk management, and seek collaborations to address the challenges and seize opportunities. The current market conditions require strategic adaptation and proactive measures to maintain competitiveness and profitability within the evolving logistics landscape.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Truckload Market Cools During Holiday Season DAT Report

Truckload Market Cools During Holiday Season DAT Report

DAT's latest report reveals a mixed picture for the US truckload capacity market in October. Dry van demand declined, while refrigerated and flatbed demand remained stable. Spot rates saw a slight increase, and contract rates remained largely unchanged. Experts attribute the weak demand as the primary driver, forecasting continued challenges for the market in 2025. The report suggests that companies should focus on refined operations, flexible capacity management, enhanced risk management, and embracing digital transformation to navigate the evolving market conditions.

01/19/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Trucking Market Slows Amid Seasonal Downturn DAT Index

US Trucking Market Slows Amid Seasonal Downturn DAT Index

The November DAT Truckload Capacity Index reveals a mixed performance in the US freight market, influenced by seasonality and Thanksgiving. The index showed fluctuating capacity, with spot rates for refrigerated trucks increasing while contract rates declined across the board. Experts believe March will be a crucial turning point for the market, emphasizing the need to monitor the potential risk of port strikes. The overall outlook remains uncertain, requiring careful observation of key economic indicators and geopolitical developments impacting the transportation sector.

01/19/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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