Freight Index Shows Early Recovery Signs As Intermodal Prices Diverge in Q1 2025

Freight Index Shows Early Recovery Signs As Intermodal Prices Diverge in Q1 2025

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index report reveals a diverging trend across various transportation modes in the US freight market, amidst weak demand and excess capacity. Truckload transportation shows cautious optimism, while the parcel sector witnesses intense pricing strategy competition. LTL (Less-Than-Truckload) transportation faces challenges in maintaining pricing discipline. The report provides crucial decision-making insights for industry participants, highlighting the nuances in pricing and demand dynamics across different freight segments. It offers a valuable overview of the current market conditions and potential future trends.

12/31/2025 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Index Predicts Weaker Peak Season As Markets Diverge

Freight Index Predicts Weaker Peak Season As Markets Diverge

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index report predicts a potentially weak peak season this year. Overcapacity in truckload is putting pressure on pricing, while the less-than-truckload (LTL) market shows steady progress. The parcel market is driven by e-commerce promotions but faces intense competition. Businesses should take a rational view of market changes and optimize their supply chain strategies. The report suggests that companies need to be prepared for a less robust peak season than in previous years and adjust their expectations accordingly.

01/19/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Carriers Adopt Survival Tactics Amid Profit Pressures

Freight Carriers Adopt Survival Tactics Amid Profit Pressures

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index report provides an in-depth analysis of the current challenges facing the freight market, including overcapacity, declining rates, and policy changes. The report analyzes truckload, parcel, and LTL (Less-than-Truckload) segments separately, offering strategic guidance for freight companies to survive in adverse conditions. Data-driven decision-making will be crucial for the future success of freight businesses. This report highlights the importance of adapting to market dynamics and leveraging data for informed strategies in a competitive landscape.

02/04/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Pricing Strategies Split As Demand Weakens in Q1

Freight Pricing Strategies Split As Demand Weakens in Q1

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report reveals a market grappling with weak demand and excess capacity. Full Truckload (FTL) seeks price equilibrium, while Parcel struggles between pricing strategies and discount competition. Less-than-Truckload (LTL) faces cracks beneath seemingly firm prices. The report offers crucial market insights for freight companies, shippers, and investors, highlighting the challenges and opportunities within each transportation mode and the pricing pressures impacting the overall freight landscape. It serves as a valuable resource for navigating the complexities of the current freight market.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals a diverging US freight market. Parcel demand is weak with unprecedented discounts and declining fuel surcharges. LTL shipments show declining weight per shipment, but carrier pricing remains firm. Truckload faces headwinds from soft demand and excess capacity, hindering near-term improvement. While future Fed rate cuts are beneficial for long-term truckload and LTL prospects, their immediate impact is limited. The report highlights the contrasting dynamics within different segments of the US freight sector, reflecting broader economic conditions and supply chain adjustments.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Trucking Sector Improves As LTL Faces Challenges TD Cowen Report

Trucking Sector Improves As LTL Faces Challenges TD Cowen Report

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates emerging optimism in the truckload market, with rising spot rates and increasing tender rejections. Parcel pricing strategies are proving effective, benefiting from fuel surcharge adjustments. LTL rates remain stable, but pricing discipline may be weakening. Overall, the macroeconomic outlook presents positive signals for carriers, but weak demand and excess capacity remain challenges. While the truckload sector shows signs of recovery, continued monitoring of pricing discipline in LTL and demand trends across all modes is crucial for assessing the sustained health of the freight market.

01/20/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Trucking Market Faces Winter Challenges As Freight Index Fluctuates

US Trucking Market Faces Winter Challenges As Freight Index Fluctuates

The Cass Freight Index indicates sluggish shipment volume growth and decelerating expenditure growth in November, suggesting challenges for the freight market. Year-over-year shipment volume declined, with a sharp decrease in West Coast imports, potentially influenced by shifts in global trade patterns. Expenditure growth was primarily driven by changes in the transportation mode mix, indicating persistent cost pressures. Investors can use the index to assess freight companies, but a comprehensive analysis incorporating other data is crucial. The index points towards a softening freight market, requiring careful monitoring of evolving economic conditions.

01/21/2026 Logistics
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Freight Market Braces for Weak Peak Season TD Cowen Index

Freight Market Braces for Weak Peak Season TD Cowen Index

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index indicates a mixed performance in the third quarter freight market. LTL rates increased due to Yellow's bankruptcy, while parcel shipping saw deeper discounts. Truckload remained relatively stable. A muted peak season is expected in the fourth quarter with slower growth across all segments. Logistics companies need to refine operations, improve service quality, and embrace digitalization to navigate these challenges. The index highlights the need for strategic adaptation in a dynamic market environment.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Shipping Market Faces Cost Challenges Despite Growth Signs

Shipping Market Faces Cost Challenges Despite Growth Signs

The Cass Freight Index indicates significant growth in both freight volume and expenditures in November, signaling positive market developments. However, capacity constraints and rising costs remain challenges. Businesses should closely monitor index fluctuations to optimize strategies, seize opportunities, and address challenges to secure future success. This requires proactive planning and adaptation to the evolving freight landscape. Understanding the interplay between volume, expenditure, and capacity is crucial for navigating the current market conditions.

01/29/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Rebounds As TD Cowen Index Signals Rate Hikes

Freight Market Rebounds As TD Cowen Index Signals Rate Hikes

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index reveals pockets of optimism amidst challenges of soft demand and excess capacity. Truckload spot rates are increasing, and parcel pricing strategies are proving effective. However, LTL pricing discipline may be weakening. The index anticipates varying degrees of rate increases across different transportation modes in Q1 2025. While headwinds persist, certain segments demonstrate resilience and potential for growth, suggesting a complex and evolving freight market landscape. Monitoring these trends is crucial for informed decision-making.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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