The Drewry World Container Index has fallen for five consecutive weeks, impacted by tariff policies and economic downturn, leading to weak freight rates. Analysts forecast that further demand shrinkage may increase downward pressure on future freight rates.
The container shipping market is facing a dual challenge of declining demand and rapid capacity growth. An estimated 5 million TEUs of new ships are expected to be delivered over the next two years, leading to the highest capacity growth in 20 years, while freight rates continue to plummet, increasing market risks. Although there remains a willingness to pay for some capacity, factors such as global economic slowdown and rising inflation create significant uncertainty for future trends. Industry experts warn that the sector must seek transformation under pressure to enhance competitiveness.
The determination of container shipping freight rates is influenced by various factors, including the nature of the goods, origin and destination, contract date, and loading time. Understanding these factors helps optimize transportation costs and decision-making, enhancing logistics efficiency.
In July 2024, China's export container transportation market showed stable improvement with an overall increase in freight rates, as the freight index for major routes generally rose. Despite ongoing challenges affecting the European and North American markets, port throughput has been trending upwards, and the ship leasing market remains active, demonstrating the resilience and potential of the container shipping market.
The international shipping market faced significant changes in July, with substantial capacity reductions on major East-West routes, particularly impacting the Trans-Pacific lanes. Weak demand and overcapacity led to declining freight rates, prompting shipping companies to actively adjust their strategies. Increased global economic uncertainty presents challenges for the shipping market's outlook, requiring companies to adapt flexibly. The capacity cuts aim to stabilize prices amid sluggish demand, but the long-term effects remain to be seen given the volatile global economic landscape.
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