Recent developments in China-US trade relations have led to a significant increase in shipping costs, with container freight rates from Shanghai to New York rising by 19%. A shortage of shipping capacity and the evolving trade dynamics have further exacerbated this trend, and it is expected that costs may continue to rise in the future.
In an interview, Chris Rogers, Head of Supply Chain Research at S&P Global Market Intelligence, provides insights into the US import outlook, traditional peak season expectations, inventory glut, and the impact of US-China trade relations on global supply chains. He advises businesses to embrace digitalization and build diversified, resilient supply chains to navigate the complex and volatile global trade environment. This approach is crucial for mitigating risks and ensuring business continuity in the face of ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainties.
The US has announced a 50% tariff on specific steel-made home appliances, effective June 23rd, impacting dishwashers, washing machines, and refrigerators. US-EU trade negotiations are stalled, with the EU preparing retaliatory measures. This action will increase the burden on American consumers and impact the global home appliance market. Companies need to adjust their strategies to cope with the situation. The tariffs are likely to escalate trade tensions and disrupt supply chains, forcing manufacturers to seek alternative sourcing and pricing strategies.
Descartes' latest report reveals that US import growth stalled in October, experiencing a year-over-year decline, indicating increased market risk. China's import share rose, but its total volume decreased, mirroring a general downturn among major trading partners. Performance varied between East and West Coast ports. Businesses should diversify their supply chains, optimize inventory, enhance risk management, and actively explore new markets to navigate the changing market landscape. The stagnation suggests potential challenges ahead for the US economy and highlights the need for proactive strategies.
S&P Global data reveals a year-on-year decline in US containerized freight imports for October, with further decreases expected in the coming months. Key factors include trade policy uncertainties, inventory glut, and a global economic slowdown. Despite the overall downturn, imports of auto parts and appliances saw growth. Experts express cautious optimism regarding future trade policies but anticipate challenges in early 2026. Businesses need to remain adaptable to navigate the evolving trade landscape.
Port congestion in the United States has reached a critical level, particularly at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. Multiple factors, including the pandemic's impact, surging demand, supply chain disruptions, and container imbalances, have exacerbated the congestion. This situation affects the global supply chain, leading to increased transportation costs, extended delivery times, and inventory backlogs. Alleviating congestion requires strengthening infrastructure construction, optimizing operational management, and enhancing supply chain collaboration to build a more resilient supply chain.
This podcast episode features Chris Rogers, Head of Supply Chain Research at S&P Global, providing insights into key issues such as the US import outlook, traditional peak season challenges, inventory digestion strategies, and US-China trade relations. Drawing on his extensive industry experience, Rogers offers practical advice for businesses navigating global trade uncertainties, helping them develop robust commercial strategies. He discusses how companies can adapt to changing market dynamics and mitigate risks in the current global landscape. This episode is a valuable resource for businesses seeking to understand and respond to evolving supply chain and trade trends.
Global trade economist Dr. Walter Keams provides an in-depth analysis of the challenges and opportunities facing the global supply chain today. He covers key issues such as peak season outlooks, 24/7 port operations, nearshoring prospects, the impact of tariff policies, and US-China trade relations. This analysis offers valuable strategic insights for businesses navigating the global trade landscape, helping them seize opportunities and address challenges effectively.
Cathay Pacific saw a significant increase in international air cargo volume in May, boosted by easing US-China trade tensions and increased capacity. Cargo volume rose by 8.1% year-on-year to 734 million FTKs, with tonnage up by 12.2%. The suspension of US-China tariffs boosted short-term demand, with strong performance in live animal transport. Market sentiment is expected to remain stable in June, but close attention to market dynamics is needed. Hong Kong airport's cargo volume growth slowed, with transit cargo providing support.
Schneider National has launched Fast Track, a premium rail service designed to provide faster and more reliable intercontinental transportation between the US and China. This service integrates highway and railway resources, achieving a 95% on-time performance rate and near-zero loss security. The introduction of Fast Track will help businesses improve efficiency, reduce costs, and ultimately win market competition. By offering a streamlined and secure solution, Schneider aims to optimize the supply chain for companies engaged in US-China trade, enhancing their overall logistics performance.
