Freight Market Rebounds As TD Cowen Index Signals Rate Hikes

Freight Market Rebounds As TD Cowen Index Signals Rate Hikes

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index Q1 report reveals mixed performance across transportation modes amidst soft demand and excess capacity. Truckload shows promise with rising spot rates, but contract rates remain under pressure. Parcel saw effective pricing adjustments, though discounts persist. LTL rates are stable, but pricing discipline may be loosening. The report anticipates potential rate increases in the future, suggesting a possible shift in the freight market dynamics. Overall, the index highlights the ongoing challenges and potential opportunities within the current freight environment.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Faces Challenges Opportunities Amid Tariff Shifts TD Cowen

Freight Market Faces Challenges Opportunities Amid Tariff Shifts TD Cowen

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals the impact of factors like tariffs and demand shifts on the freight market, analyzing key trends and challenges in truckload, parcel, and LTL transportation. The index utilizes data models to provide market insights, helping businesses navigate uncertainty and optimize transportation strategies. It highlights the influence of economic factors and evolving consumer behavior on freight rates and capacity, offering valuable information for informed decision-making in a dynamic market environment. This allows companies to adapt and improve their supply chain efficiency.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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New Freight Index by Cowen AFS Aims to Predict Market Trends

New Freight Index by Cowen AFS Aims to Predict Market Trends

Cowen and AFS Logistics jointly launched a freight index designed to provide investors with a predictive pricing tool covering LTL, Truckload, and Parcel transportation. The index's key strengths lie in its forward-looking forecasting capabilities and segmented market insights. Through data-driven models, it predicts future rate trends, helping investors plan ahead. This index also marks AFS Logistics' transition from behind-the-scenes to the forefront, transforming massive data into commercial value. It offers valuable insights for investment decisions within the dynamic logistics landscape.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Carriers Face Overcapacity As Economy Shifts Q3 Report

Freight Carriers Face Overcapacity As Economy Shifts Q3 Report

The TD Cowen/AFS Third Quarter Freight Index report reveals how carriers are navigating challenges like excess capacity and declining rates. The report analyzes costs, demand, and policy impacts across truckload, parcel, and LTL transportation, while also looking ahead to future trends. Digital transformation and intelligent upgrades are identified as inevitable developments within the freight industry. This report provides insights into the current state and anticipated evolution of the freight market, highlighting the need for adaptation and innovation to thrive in a changing landscape.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Braces for Weak Peak Season Amid Cooling Demand

Freight Market Braces for Weak Peak Season Amid Cooling Demand

The latest Cowen/AFS Freight Index report suggests a potentially weak traditional peak season. Analyzing rate changes and future trends in LTL, parcel, and truckload, the report identifies soft demand and macroeconomic uncertainty as key influencing factors. Businesses need to closely monitor market dynamics, flexibly adjust supply chain strategies, and focus on sustainability to address future challenges. The index provides valuable insights for navigating the evolving logistics landscape and optimizing freight management in a volatile economic environment. Understanding these trends is crucial for maintaining competitiveness and resilience.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Index Shows Early Recovery Signs As Intermodal Prices Diverge in Q1 2025

Freight Index Shows Early Recovery Signs As Intermodal Prices Diverge in Q1 2025

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index report reveals a diverging trend across various transportation modes in the US freight market, amidst weak demand and excess capacity. Truckload transportation shows cautious optimism, while the parcel sector witnesses intense pricing strategy competition. LTL (Less-Than-Truckload) transportation faces challenges in maintaining pricing discipline. The report provides crucial decision-making insights for industry participants, highlighting the nuances in pricing and demand dynamics across different freight segments. It offers a valuable overview of the current market conditions and potential future trends.

12/31/2025 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Shifts Under Tariffs and Demand TD Cowenafs Index

Freight Market Shifts Under Tariffs and Demand TD Cowenafs Index

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index report indicates that tariff policies, declining consumer confidence, and changes in carrier pricing strategies are impacting the freight market. In trucking, front-loading of inventory is driving up rates, but increased short-haul shipments are lowering overall costs. For parcel, carriers are adjusting prices more frequently, and fuel surcharges are rising, but sales growth faces challenges. In LTL, pricing remains strong despite economic headwinds. The report highlights the complex interplay of factors influencing freight costs and volumes across different transportation modes.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Index Predicts Weaker Peak Season As Markets Diverge

Freight Index Predicts Weaker Peak Season As Markets Diverge

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index report predicts a potentially weak peak season this year. Overcapacity in truckload is putting pressure on pricing, while the less-than-truckload (LTL) market shows steady progress. The parcel market is driven by e-commerce promotions but faces intense competition. Businesses should take a rational view of market changes and optimize their supply chain strategies. The report suggests that companies need to be prepared for a less robust peak season than in previous years and adjust their expectations accordingly.

01/19/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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TD Cowen Index Shows Freight Market Cooling Amid Economic Pressures

TD Cowen Index Shows Freight Market Cooling Amid Economic Pressures

Freight indices indicate peak season strength or weakness, with varying activity across different transportation markets. LTL rates are increasing, parcel rates are decreasing, and truckload rates remain stable. Influenced by macroeconomic factors and others, flexibility and responsiveness are crucial. The freight index provides insights into the current state of the logistics market and helps businesses understand the trends in transportation rates, enabling them to make informed decisions and adapt to market fluctuations effectively. Monitoring these indicators is key for navigating the complexities of the logistics landscape.

01/19/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Truck Driver Shortage Drives Up Freight Labor Costs

Truck Driver Shortage Drives Up Freight Labor Costs

According to the American Trucking Associations, the driver turnover rate at large truckload carriers surged to 92% in the third quarter, while smaller carriers reached 74%. Less-than-truckload (LTL) remained relatively stable at 14%. This high turnover reflects challenges in the freight market, including driver shortages and increased competition. Companies need to actively address these issues to ensure supply chain stability and mitigate the impact of driver attrition on their operations. Addressing driver retention is crucial for maintaining service levels and profitability in the current environment.

01/21/2026 Logistics
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