Freight Market Rebounds As TD Cowen Index Signals Rate Hikes

Freight Market Rebounds As TD Cowen Index Signals Rate Hikes

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index reveals pockets of optimism amidst challenges of soft demand and excess capacity. Truckload spot rates are increasing, and parcel pricing strategies are proving effective. However, LTL pricing discipline may be weakening. The index anticipates varying degrees of rate increases across different transportation modes in Q1 2025. While headwinds persist, certain segments demonstrate resilience and potential for growth, suggesting a complex and evolving freight market landscape. Monitoring these trends is crucial for informed decision-making.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Truckload Rates Hit Record High Amid Supply Chain Strain

Truckload Rates Hit Record High Amid Supply Chain Strain

The DAT Truckload Volume Index (TVI) reached a new high, reflecting shippers' willingness to pay a premium to secure freight transportation amid supply chain bottlenecks. The October TVI hit 239, driven by rising spot rates and record-high fuel surcharges. Experts point to port congestion impacting freight volumes, and anticipate a potential decrease in truckload volumes in December. This surge in the TVI highlights the ongoing challenges and increased costs associated with moving goods across the country as businesses compete for limited capacity.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Air Freight Rates Crash Amid Panic Selling Market Shifts

Air Freight Rates Crash Amid Panic Selling Market Shifts

Air freight spot rates have plummeted 41% year-over-year due to increased capacity, pessimistic market sentiment, and pressure from long-term agreements. Airlines face a trade-off between profitability and cargo volume, while freight forwarders need to be agile and adaptable. The market may require several quarters to adjust. Participants should remain rational, strengthen cooperation, improve service quality, and embrace innovation to navigate challenges and seize opportunities. The current market downturn necessitates strategic adjustments for all stakeholders in the air cargo industry.

01/28/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Winter Freeze Drives January Truckload Volume Surge

Winter Freeze Drives January Truckload Volume Surge

The DAT report indicates that U.S. freight volume hit a record high in January due to severe cold weather. Freight volume for dry van, refrigerated, and flatbed trucks all increased, leading to higher spot rates. Experts suggest this is a short-term phenomenon, with long-term rates still lower than the same period last year. Businesses are advised to view market fluctuations rationally and seize opportunities. The surge is likely a temporary response to weather conditions rather than a sustained market shift.

01/30/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Freight Market Slumps in July As Rates Volumes Decline

US Freight Market Slumps in July As Rates Volumes Decline

The US freight market experienced seasonal softness in late July, with both spot rates and freight volume declining. Dry van, refrigerated, and flatbed sectors were all affected. Weakness in agricultural shipments significantly contributed to the decreased demand for refrigerated trucks. Experts advise trucking companies to closely monitor market dynamics, improve efficiency, and reduce costs to navigate the challenges and capitalize on opportunities in the current environment. This proactive approach is crucial for maintaining profitability and competitiveness during this period of market downturn.

02/04/2026 Logistics
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US Trucking Demand Slows in July Amid Seasonal Downturn

US Trucking Demand Slows in July Amid Seasonal Downturn

The US trucking market experienced a decline in both freight volume and rates in July, influenced by seasonal factors and rising fuel prices. Experts interpret this as a typical off-season adjustment, anticipating a rebound during the peak season. The report details data for various freight types, including dry van, refrigerated, and flatbed, and highlights the gap between contract and spot rates. This provides market participants with valuable insights for informed decision-making. The decline is considered temporary and a natural part of the market cycle.

01/19/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Rail Freight Rebounds in June As Intermodal Offsets Coal Decline

US Rail Freight Rebounds in June As Intermodal Offsets Coal Decline

U.S. rail freight data for June 2011 presented a mixed picture. Total freight volume increased year-over-year, but coal shipments declined. Intermodal transportation was a bright spot, although its growth rate slowed. Metallic ores and forest products showed strong performance. Railroad employment increased, and capacity was sufficient. Future trends will depend on economic recovery, supply chain stability, and energy policies. The data suggests cautious optimism with potential headwinds in the coal sector and a need to monitor intermodal growth for sustained positive impact.

02/04/2026 Logistics
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September Freight Demand Slips As Rates Edge Higher

September Freight Demand Slips As Rates Edge Higher

The US spot truckload market in September presented a complex picture of declining volumes but slightly rising rates. Dry van and refrigerated freight volumes decreased month-over-month, while flatbed volumes increased. Analysts suggest the rate increase was not demand-driven, but rather due to capacity imbalances. They anticipate a potentially weak peak season, posing further challenges for carriers. The freight market is showing signs of volatility and uncertainty as we approach the end of the year, requiring careful monitoring of capacity and demand.

02/04/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Trucking Market Sees Strong Start in January Amid Capacity Shifts

Trucking Market Sees Strong Start in January Amid Capacity Shifts

DAT's latest Truckload Volume Index report reveals widespread increases in US spot market freight volumes and rates in January, driven by post-holiday restocking, tariff policies, and severe weather. The report analyzes the capacity index and freight rate changes for van, refrigerated, and flatbed trucks. It also provides a market outlook, emphasizing the need for businesses to adapt to market volatility and optimize their operational models. The surge indicates a dynamic start to the year, requiring proactive strategies from logistics providers and shippers alike.

02/04/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Q1 Trucking Rebounds As LTL Sector Struggles TD Cowen Index

Q1 Trucking Rebounds As LTL Sector Struggles TD Cowen Index

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates emerging signs of recovery in the trucking market, with spot rates increasing but contract rates still under pressure. Parcel shipping pricing strategies are proving effective, though intense competition leads to significant discounts. Less-than-truckload (LTL) pricing remains robust, but declining fuel surcharges suggest a loosening of pricing discipline. The report provides valuable market insights for businesses, enabling them to develop agile transportation strategies. This information is crucial for navigating the current freight landscape and optimizing supply chain operations.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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