Q1 Trucking Rebounds As LTL Sector Struggles TD Cowen Index

Q1 Trucking Rebounds As LTL Sector Struggles TD Cowen Index

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates emerging signs of recovery in the trucking market, with spot rates increasing but contract rates still under pressure. Parcel shipping pricing strategies are proving effective, though intense competition leads to significant discounts. Less-than-truckload (LTL) pricing remains robust, but declining fuel surcharges suggest a loosening of pricing discipline. The report provides valuable market insights for businesses, enabling them to develop agile transportation strategies. This information is crucial for navigating the current freight landscape and optimizing supply chain operations.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Rebounds As TD Cowen Index Signals Rate Hikes

Freight Market Rebounds As TD Cowen Index Signals Rate Hikes

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index reveals pockets of optimism amidst challenges of soft demand and excess capacity. Truckload spot rates are increasing, and parcel pricing strategies are proving effective. However, LTL pricing discipline may be weakening. The index anticipates varying degrees of rate increases across different transportation modes in Q1 2025. While headwinds persist, certain segments demonstrate resilience and potential for growth, suggesting a complex and evolving freight market landscape. Monitoring these trends is crucial for informed decision-making.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Freight Market Faces Trade War Challenges TD Cowen Index

US Freight Market Faces Trade War Challenges TD Cowen Index

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index Q2 report unveils the challenges and trends in the US freight market under the shadow of the trade war. Analyzing the current market situation in various modes like truckload, parcel, and LTL, the report points out that tariffs, demand shifts, and capacity adjustments are key factors influencing the market. The report emphasizes the need for businesses to closely monitor market dynamics and flexibly adjust strategies to cope with uncertainties. This includes understanding the impact of tariffs and adapting to changing consumer demand.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Shifts Under Tariffs and Demand TD Cowenafs Index

Freight Market Shifts Under Tariffs and Demand TD Cowenafs Index

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index report indicates that tariff policies, declining consumer confidence, and changes in carrier pricing strategies are impacting the freight market. In trucking, front-loading of inventory is driving up rates, but increased short-haul shipments are lowering overall costs. For parcel, carriers are adjusting prices more frequently, and fuel surcharges are rising, but sales growth faces challenges. In LTL, pricing remains strong despite economic headwinds. The report highlights the complex interplay of factors influencing freight costs and volumes across different transportation modes.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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TD Cowen Index Shows Freight Market Shifts During Peak Season

TD Cowen Index Shows Freight Market Shifts During Peak Season

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals emerging trends in the freight market: LTL pricing impacted by Yellow's closure, fuel surcharges rebound; Ground parcel discounts deepen, but demand surcharges loom; Truckload sees a short-term volume increase, peak season expectations are muted. The index provides shippers with valuable insights for informed decision-making. The LTL market is experiencing significant price volatility due to the disruption caused by Yellow's bankruptcy. Shippers need to carefully monitor these changes and adjust their strategies accordingly.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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TD Cowen Index Shows Freight Market Cooling Amid Economic Pressures

TD Cowen Index Shows Freight Market Cooling Amid Economic Pressures

Freight indices indicate peak season strength or weakness, with varying activity across different transportation markets. LTL rates are increasing, parcel rates are decreasing, and truckload rates remain stable. Influenced by macroeconomic factors and others, flexibility and responsiveness are crucial. The freight index provides insights into the current state of the logistics market and helps businesses understand the trends in transportation rates, enabling them to make informed decisions and adapt to market fluctuations effectively. Monitoring these indicators is key for navigating the complexities of the logistics landscape.

01/19/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Trucking Sector Improves As LTL Faces Challenges TD Cowen Report

Trucking Sector Improves As LTL Faces Challenges TD Cowen Report

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates emerging optimism in the truckload market, with rising spot rates and increasing tender rejections. Parcel pricing strategies are proving effective, benefiting from fuel surcharge adjustments. LTL rates remain stable, but pricing discipline may be weakening. Overall, the macroeconomic outlook presents positive signals for carriers, but weak demand and excess capacity remain challenges. While the truckload sector shows signs of recovery, continued monitoring of pricing discipline in LTL and demand trends across all modes is crucial for assessing the sustained health of the freight market.

01/20/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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TD Cowen Analyzes Freight Market Trends Tariffs and LTLTL Shifts

TD Cowen Analyzes Freight Market Trends Tariffs and LTLTL Shifts

At the SMC3 JumpStart 2025 conference, TD Cowen Managing Director Jason Seidl shared his unique insights on the freight economy, tariff impacts, AI applications, nearshoring, M&A activity, and LTL/TL market trends. His presentation provided valuable market analysis and strategic advice for businesses navigating the complexities of the current freight landscape. He highlighted key factors shaping the industry and offered actionable recommendations for companies looking to optimize their logistics operations and capitalize on emerging opportunities. Seidl's expertise offered attendees a comprehensive understanding of the forces at play in the freight market.

01/20/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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TD Cowenafs Index Highlights Truckload Parcel and LTL Market Trends

TD Cowenafs Index Highlights Truckload Parcel and LTL Market Trends

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index Q1 report reveals cautiously optimistic signals in the truckload market. The parcel market faces a pricing strategy battle against market realities. Pricing discipline in the less-than-truckload (LTL) market may be loosening. This report offers valuable market insights for logistics companies, aiding in the optimization of their transportation strategies. It highlights key trends and challenges impacting different segments of the freight market, providing a comprehensive overview for informed decision-making.

01/17/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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TD Cowen Analyst Assesses Freight Market Amid Tariffs Economic Shifts

TD Cowen Analyst Assesses Freight Market Amid Tariffs Economic Shifts

TD Cowen analyst Jason Seidl analyzes the current state of the freight economy, the impact of tariffs, LTL and truckload market trends, and the application of AI in logistics. The article delves into economic recovery signals, tariff response strategies, the strategic significance of AI, the long-term value of nearshoring, and the opportunities and challenges in the M&A market. It provides valuable insights for businesses to understand freight market trends, offering guidance on navigating the evolving landscape and making informed decisions in a dynamic environment.

01/28/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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