Recent changes in China-U.S. trade policies have led to a dramatic increase in trans-Pacific freight volume, causing concerns among surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises. Despite a recovery in the market, container shipping rates continue to rise, and foreseeable policy adjustments pose challenges for the future of the shipping market.
Due to the impact of maritime pre-transport, the trans-Pacific air freight market is facing challenges of shrinking demand and low freight rates. In the coming months, it is expected that both air freight volume and rates will struggle to recover. The industry needs to reassess market strategies to tackle these challenges.
Although the trans-Pacific ocean freight container rates are on a downward trend, they remain approximately $1,000/FEU higher compared to the same period last year. The calm period after the Spring Festival has led to a price decline, and it is expected that as service models return to normal, contract rates will decrease.
A Sea-Intelligence report indicates that US tariff policies have caused a sharp decline in demand for trans-Pacific shipping capacity, leading to a surge in blank sailings. Shipping companies are forced to cancel voyages in response, creating significant market uncertainty. The future direction depends on the development of trade relations, and the shipping industry needs to be flexible in addressing these challenges.
In 2025, the international air freight market reveals a structural divergence in capacity, with a stark contrast between surplus bellyhold capacity on passenger planes and a shortage of dedicated freighters. Regional freight rates are highly volatile, with prices soaring from Southeast Asia to Europe while decreasing on the trans-Pacific routes. Companies need to leverage data analytics to optimize their shipping routes and tackle these challenges.
This article delves into key international rail transport routes, including the Trans-Siberian Railway, the China-Europe Railway Express, and multinational rail networks. It provides practical information for enterprises to optimize logistics solutions and enhance transportation efficiency.
The global shipping industry is undergoing significant consolidation, posing supply chain risks for shippers. This article analyzes industry consolidation trends, changes in the Trans-Pacific trade lane, and provides shippers with strategies to mitigate these risks. These strategies include diversifying risk, prioritizing service quality, enhancing communication, purchasing insurance, and seeking professional advice. The aim is to help shippers find certainty in uncertainty and ensure supply chain stability amidst ongoing disruptions and market volatility.
The global freight market faced severe challenges in May 2021. Trans-Pacific routes experienced congestion, leading to increased freight rates and tight capacity. Equipment shortages in Asia and port congestion in Europe impacted the repositioning of empty containers. Air freight demand surged, resulting in a capacity crunch and soaring prices. The ongoing pandemic continued to disrupt global supply chains. It is recommended to book space in advance and choose quality services to mitigate potential disruptions.
The European Commission has broadened its antitrust investigation into maritime carriers, posing challenges for Asian shipping companies. The investigation aims to combat price fixing and maintain fair competition in the market. Shippers have alleged the existence of 'secret agreements' on the Trans-Pacific routes. Antitrust regulation is crucial for the healthy development of the maritime market, ensuring a level playing field and preventing anti-competitive practices that could harm consumers and businesses relying on maritime transport for global trade.
The Trans-Pacific shipping market is currently experiencing a surge in activity and rising freight rates due to the approaching Lunar New Year. However, looking ahead to 2026, factors such as increased shipping capacity, inventory saturation, and early shipments in the previous year are expected to lead to a decrease in cargo volume. Consequently, freight rates are likely to remain low and volatile. Shippers should be aware of market fluctuations and plan their shipments accordingly to mitigate potential risks.
