The US Services PMI unexpectedly contracted in May, ending a 10-month expansion, with a significant drop in new orders raising concerns about an economic downturn. Industry divergence is apparent, with tariffs and uncertainty being major challenges. Close attention should be paid to subsequent data, and proactive measures need to be taken.
Colliers' latest report provides an in-depth analysis of the top 25 core industrial real estate markets in the US. It reveals key trends including a slowdown in new supply, continued rental growth, rising vacancy rates, and a short-term decline in demand, with long-term prospects remaining positive. The report emphasizes the importance of understanding market dynamics and adapting investment strategies accordingly. It serves as a practical guide for investors to navigate market changes and position themselves for future success.
A Colliers report reveals that the top 25 U.S. industrial markets are undergoing a supply and demand adjustment. New supply is slowing, vacancy rates are rising, and rent growth is moderating. High interest rates and rising costs are key drivers. Despite a short-term decline in demand, the long-term outlook remains positive, with the market expected to recover after supply and demand rebalance. The report highlights the ongoing shifts and potential future resilience of the industrial real estate sector.
The November DAT Truckload Capacity Index reveals a mixed performance in the US freight market, influenced by seasonality and Thanksgiving. The index showed fluctuating capacity, with spot rates for refrigerated trucks increasing while contract rates declined across the board. Experts believe March will be a crucial turning point for the market, emphasizing the need to monitor the potential risk of port strikes. The overall outlook remains uncertain, requiring careful observation of key economic indicators and geopolitical developments impacting the transportation sector.
DAT's report indicates a stagnant US truckload freight market in April, with demand and rates remaining flat. Dry van and refrigerated volumes declined month-over-month, while flatbed saw slight growth. Experts attribute this to economic factors and seasonality, posing challenges for market recovery. Monitoring ocean bill of lading and contract rate fluctuations is crucial to navigate potential risks. The report highlights the need for careful observation of market indicators to anticipate future trends and adapt strategies accordingly in this uncertain environment.
The US freight spot market experienced a decline in both volume and rates in late May, reflecting weak demand, excess capacity, and broader economic factors. The dry van, refrigerated, and flatbed markets all faced pressure. Experts describe the market as 'frozen' but suggest that potential opportunities remain. Carriers are advised to optimize operations, shippers to adjust plans flexibly, and industry analysts to enhance research in order to collectively address these challenges. The decline signals a need for strategic adaptation within the freight industry to navigate the current market conditions.
The US freight market in September presented a complex scenario of declining volume and rising prices. Dry van and refrigerated freight volumes decreased, while flatbed volumes saw a slight increase. Spot rates edged up, while contract rates remained stable or slightly decreased. Experts attribute the rate increase not to demand, but to capacity imbalances, suggesting a potentially subdued peak season. Small carriers may benefit from rising backhaul rates, but long-term adaptation to market changes is crucial.
The American Trucking Associations forecasts U.S. truck freight tonnage to peak at 14 million tons by 2035, maintaining its dominance in the freight market. The report reveals trends in total freight volume and revenue growth, analyzing key influencing factors such as macroeconomics, fuel prices, labor markets, regulations, technological innovation, and supply chain changes. The trucking industry needs to proactively address challenges and embrace innovation to adapt to future development. This includes optimizing routes, adopting sustainable practices, and leveraging data analytics for improved efficiency and predictive capabilities.
Goldman Sachs forecasts that US core CPI could rise by 0.6% if the US imposes tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico. The report suggests the duration of these tariff policies is uncertain but unlikely to become a long-term feature. Existing inflationary pressures in the US persist, and the new tariff policies may exacerbate inflation. The impact depends on the scope and longevity of the tariffs, but Goldman Sachs believes the effect will be noticeable in the short term.
J.B. Hunt, BNSF, and Grupo México Transportes have launched a US-Mexico intermodal service, connecting three major Mexican markets to the US rail network via the Eagle Pass border crossing. This initiative aims to improve the speed and efficiency of cross-border logistics. The move intensifies competition in the US-Mexico intermodal market, offering shippers more options and facilitating business expansion in the North American market. This collaboration promises streamlined transportation solutions and enhanced connectivity for goods moving between the two countries.
