Freight Market Shifts Under Tariffs and Demand TD Cowenafs Index

Freight Market Shifts Under Tariffs and Demand TD Cowenafs Index

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index report indicates that tariff policies, declining consumer confidence, and changes in carrier pricing strategies are impacting the freight market. In trucking, front-loading of inventory is driving up rates, but increased short-haul shipments are lowering overall costs. For parcel, carriers are adjusting prices more frequently, and fuel surcharges are rising, but sales growth faces challenges. In LTL, pricing remains strong despite economic headwinds. The report highlights the complex interplay of factors influencing freight costs and volumes across different transportation modes.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

Freight Market Splits As Parcel LTL and Truckload Prices Diverge

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals a diverging US freight market. Parcel demand is weak with unprecedented discounts and declining fuel surcharges. LTL shipments show declining weight per shipment, but carrier pricing remains firm. Truckload faces headwinds from soft demand and excess capacity, hindering near-term improvement. While future Fed rate cuts are beneficial for long-term truckload and LTL prospects, their immediate impact is limited. The report highlights the contrasting dynamics within different segments of the US freight sector, reflecting broader economic conditions and supply chain adjustments.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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TD Cowen Index Shows Freight Market Shifts During Peak Season

TD Cowen Index Shows Freight Market Shifts During Peak Season

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals emerging trends in the freight market: LTL pricing impacted by Yellow's closure, fuel surcharges rebound; Ground parcel discounts deepen, but demand surcharges loom; Truckload sees a short-term volume increase, peak season expectations are muted. The index provides shippers with valuable insights for informed decision-making. The LTL market is experiencing significant price volatility due to the disruption caused by Yellow's bankruptcy. Shippers need to carefully monitor these changes and adjust their strategies accordingly.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Old Dominion Freight Posts Strong Q4 on Market Share Growth

Old Dominion Freight Posts Strong Q4 on Market Share Growth

Old Dominion Freight Line reported strong Q4 performance, with revenue increasing nearly 30%. This growth was driven by increases in both daily LTL tonnage and LTL revenue per hundredweight. The company continues to gain market share through superior service and network coverage. Old Dominion is also actively investing in future development to address industry challenges and capitalize on opportunities, positioning itself for continued success in the LTL freight market.

01/19/2026 Logistics
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TD Cowen Index Shows Freight Market Cooling Amid Economic Pressures

TD Cowen Index Shows Freight Market Cooling Amid Economic Pressures

Freight indices indicate peak season strength or weakness, with varying activity across different transportation markets. LTL rates are increasing, parcel rates are decreasing, and truckload rates remain stable. Influenced by macroeconomic factors and others, flexibility and responsiveness are crucial. The freight index provides insights into the current state of the logistics market and helps businesses understand the trends in transportation rates, enabling them to make informed decisions and adapt to market fluctuations effectively. Monitoring these indicators is key for navigating the complexities of the logistics landscape.

01/19/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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TD Cowen Analyzes Freight Market Trends Tariffs and LTLTL Shifts

TD Cowen Analyzes Freight Market Trends Tariffs and LTLTL Shifts

At the SMC3 JumpStart 2025 conference, TD Cowen Managing Director Jason Seidl shared his unique insights on the freight economy, tariff impacts, AI applications, nearshoring, M&A activity, and LTL/TL market trends. His presentation provided valuable market analysis and strategic advice for businesses navigating the complexities of the current freight landscape. He highlighted key factors shaping the industry and offered actionable recommendations for companies looking to optimize their logistics operations and capitalize on emerging opportunities. Seidl's expertise offered attendees a comprehensive understanding of the forces at play in the freight market.

01/20/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Freight Market Shows Signs of Recovery Trucking Index Rises

US Freight Market Shows Signs of Recovery Trucking Index Rises

The U.S. Trucking Conditions Index (TCI) reading for November reached a near two-year high, signaling a potential turnaround in the freight market. The report analyzes key factors influencing the TCI, including freight volume, freight rates, and fuel costs. It also provides recommendations for industry players to address challenges and seize opportunities. Experts advise cautious optimism and attention to policy changes. This positive trend suggests a potential recovery in the trucking sector, but careful monitoring of economic indicators remains crucial for informed decision-making.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Trucking Market Faces Winter Challenges As Freight Index Fluctuates

US Trucking Market Faces Winter Challenges As Freight Index Fluctuates

The Cass Freight Index indicates sluggish shipment volume growth and decelerating expenditure growth in November, suggesting challenges for the freight market. Year-over-year shipment volume declined, with a sharp decrease in West Coast imports, potentially influenced by shifts in global trade patterns. Expenditure growth was primarily driven by changes in the transportation mode mix, indicating persistent cost pressures. Investors can use the index to assess freight companies, but a comprehensive analysis incorporating other data is crucial. The index points towards a softening freight market, requiring careful monitoring of evolving economic conditions.

01/21/2026 Logistics
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Freight Index Shows Annual Growth Despite Seasonal Spot Market Decline

Freight Index Shows Annual Growth Despite Seasonal Spot Market Decline

The DAT report indicates a month-over-month decrease in spot truckload freight volume for September, but a significant year-over-year increase. Seasonal factors, new Hours of Service (HOS) regulations, and driver shortages are key factors influencing the market. Shippers and carriers need to strengthen collaboration to address these challenges and ensure supply chain stability. This collaboration is crucial for navigating the complexities of the current freight environment and maintaining efficient operations amidst fluctuating demand and evolving regulations.

01/21/2026 Logistics
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AFS Logistics Expert Analyzes Freight Industry Challenges

AFS Logistics Expert Analyzes Freight Industry Challenges

The 'Logistics Management' podcast features AFS Logistics expert Tom Nightingale discussing challenges and opportunities in the freight logistics market. Topics include peak season outlook, capacity rates, nearshoring, and the impact of the Baltimore bridge collapse. Nightingale advises businesses to plan ahead, diversify their supply chains, and leverage technology for optimized management. He emphasizes proactive strategies to mitigate risks and capitalize on emerging trends in the evolving logistics landscape, ultimately ensuring greater resilience and efficiency in their operations. This includes exploring alternative sourcing options and streamlining processes.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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